In the second half of 2014 there was 3 million square feet of absorption in the office market in Canada (1.7million in Q3 and 1.3 millio in Q4).....in both quarters, two-thirds of the space leased was in suburban markets and one-third in downtown markets. Because the office towers delivered in downtown markets in the major Canadian cities tend to be larger and of a higher profile, sometimes it seems everyone is moving downtown. It is not the case.
The area around the airport (and the building I gave as one example) is seeing transit growth via the mississauga transitway and phase II of the Crosstown and/or SmartTrack. You are also making the assumption that everyone who works at the LCBO H.O. already lives downtown and ignoring that some of their employees may well live in York/Peel/Halton and would would see this as an improvement to their lives. All these things need to be looked at......
....but if we are going to say "all offices all the time have to be downtown" that is a bit bizarre.
Several comments: First of all, the office absorption figures quoted are for Canada as a whole. Is it fair to assume the Greater Toronto area is fairly represented by suburban versus downtown markets in other Canadian cities. My feeling is that the Toronto area is more advanced than some others in terms of the evolving trend to increasing office density in the downtown cores.
The second point - every time we go by the office campus areas in eastern Mississauga, the Creekside area in particular, the vast swaths of areas filled with parked cars is appalling - incredibly environmentally irresponsible. Companies are trading off current lower occupancy costs while downloading all the expenses of commuting by car onto their employees. While the ongoing improvements in transit in the suburban areas are welcome, their impact on commuting by car in these areas will only be at the margins.
With respect to Mississauga, a big difference in occupancy costs has traditionally been the lower tax rates - tax rates held down due to the city's operating costs being subsidized by development charges - charges that were intended to pay for infrastructure. Now, Mississauga is running short of available development land, and has not put the appropriate level of transit infrastructure in place to support increasing intensification. Commercial property tax rates in Mississauga are expected to increase at a greater rate than those in Toronto itself, over time removing much of the current difference in occupancy costs.
Last, but certainly not least - the other factor for consideration is quality of working life for the employees - I believe that for many, if not most people, working in an urban core, with the diversity of services, restaurants, shopping, transit, etc. available is more attractive than driving to an isolated building that is surrounded by acres of parking, with the need to drive everywhere for restaurants, shopping, various errands, etc.