You are making three flawed assumptions here: 1) that people will elect other means, as though driving on the Gardiner isn't plenty of hassle already, 2) that everyone has easy access to transit (never mind downtown, what is the transit access like at the places where these people live?), and 3) failing to account for anyone not going to the immediate vicinity of Union station.
1) Not flawed assumptions. The Gardiner most times is free of traffic and fast. But in being so, it's extremely enticing to drivers.
2) This will be the last time I point this out; we're talking CITY OF TORONTO here, not provincial or other city needs. Horror Vacui applies here; needs will arise to be filled. Those are the responsibility of those suburban towns who thrive on building out car infrastructure to the detriment of Transit. Some (see; Mississauga) have finally started to come around. The TTC itself is currently in a state of low ridership, which generally leads to service cuts and lacklustre routes. Create a vaccum, and TTC ridership will go up, new routes will be created.
3) The core is not that big an area. It's accessible by the DVP, and not that far from Allen Rd. Convenience for cars should not trump Transit that benefits everyone.
Here's an anecdote for you: my most recent concert was before Christmas at History, at Kingston Road and Queen. I live near the 21 Milton GO bus. As of this typing, it is a 51 minute drive from Milton GO station to the venue. By transit? It takes a whopping 2 hours and 29 minutes! And then the same amount of time to get back! I don't like taking the car and would MUCH rather leave it at home, but I don't think Torontonians appreciate just how incredibly worthless our transport network is. For someone who lives in south Oakville, or Mississauga, along the Lakeshore West line? Yeah, there's no excuse for driving, if you're going to sports arenas in the immediate vicinity of Union. For many other people who live further out, transit is just not time competitive at all. I could leave my house an hour and a half ahead of the show, and get back before midnight by car, or I could leave my house more than 2.5 hours in advance, preferably earlier to account for any delays, breakdowns etc, and then get back at home at 1:30 am. Why, in my right mind, would I ever choose that?
Please, ignore again my statement that transit (and especially GO) service needs to be massively increased. Frankly, all train lines should be running all day long (including weekends), instead of parking trains 95% of the hours of a given week.
But sure, you've just proven my point; that you, as a suburban GTA driver, choose to take the Gardiner into the city because it's the easiest and most convenient route. Bravo!
Yawn. More self interested chauvinism. How is this any better than any place outside of Toronto complaining that they have to pay taxes to fund transit expansion in Toronto?
The city already pays out more to the province than it receives in services. The province isn't going to change that any time soon, and other towns always argue that somehow they're entitled to more of a share. The city of Toronto already gets punished for economies of scale.
We are in a literal service deficit not faced as badly by the towns and cities we support by keeping the Gardiner alive. We tried tolling it (under a less car-centric government even!) and that was kicked to the curb. It doesn't pay for itself, y'know. So yes, I think the GTA has far less of a stake in how our city taxes should be spent. Either that, or next time Orangeville creates yet another Opera House, Lobster Fest or Busker Fest, I should be able to tell them to eff off and widen Broadway instead.
What's next, checking the ID of anyone who uses the TTC to ensure that they live in the city and aren't some good-for-nothing from the suburbs causing undue wear and tear on "your" system?
No, the TTC is primarily funded by fares. I fully believe there should be distance-based fares though. That might help the city's transit subsidy.
I think you are massively overestimating how much value $1.9B can actually buy you. Such a sum would barely make a dent in our region's transit woes. That's somewhat less than the price tag of a single LRT line (Finch West cost $2.5 billion). If you think that building one LRT line would suffice as a replacement for the Gardiner, then I don't know what to tell you.
The Finch line also has some buried tunnels and stations, which dramatically increase costs. Not comparable.
The LWLRT would be entirely outdoors. Outdoor tracks and stations are far, far cheaper.
No, it wouldn't suffice as a replacement for the Gardiner. Again, see my numerous mentions of expansion of existing transit as well as creating new.
And it's also not like Lakeshore Blvd would disappear; you keep conveniently ignoring that we currently have two eastbound lakeside routes into the downtown. One just happens to be a lot faster than the other (most times).
You need to build transit BEFORE demolishing a critical piece of infrastructure. And much, MUCH more of it.
So, in the land of Mass Transit, cars dictate all?
Long gone apparently, are the days when we'd do something like rip up the entireties of Yonge or Bloor/Danforth Streets to build transit. Can't offend entitled car owners these days.
One other thing that needs to be mentioned: the population of the GTA is constantly growing. Halving the roadway capacity into downtown and pretending our transit system can handle the displaced people + population growth is myopic.
So is assuming that the Gardiner in any state can handle that growth. Either the Gardiner needs to be expanded (not really possible), or it will just become a elevated patch of useless gridlock 10 hours out of every day.
Fewer cars need to be taking that route, period. The Gardiner is the biggest factor here.
To make the city pleasant to live in and visit, you need to have the equivalent carrying capacity on the transit system. Cutting back on capacity will just clog the local roads and transit system, and then you've helped no one at all.
Actually, you've discouraged needless car trips when both the TTC and GO are at ridership lows. When those lines are at full capacity, running constantly, then you might have a point. Until then, adios.