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Extreme worker shortage looming in Canada.

piratepete

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Canada needs to import more workers or we will face an economic crisis. We have jobs being unfilled for months. unemployement will reach 0% and poverty will be eliminated.


Mar 04, 2008 08:50 AM
David Friend
THE CANADIAN PRESS

OTTAWA – Canada's workforce is aging dramatically as the baby boom generation slides into retirement, census data released Tuesday shows, and labour analysts are sounding alarm bells about the economic fallout if shortages in IT, skilled labour and health care are allowed to materialize.

Statistics Canada says 15.3 per cent of Canadian workers are 55 or older and nearing retirement, and, for the first time, there are just as many Canadian workers over 40 as under.

The combined force of retiring boomers and declining fertility rates have conspired to erode the ratio of retirees to replacement workers.

In 2006, there were 1.9 Canadians aged 20-34 entering the workforce for every person aged 55-64 leaving it. There were 2.7 replacement workers for every retiree five years ago and, 25 years ago, there were 3.7.

Statistics Canada analyst Geoff Bowlby says it could take the labour market 20 years to correct itself.

"We know the Canadian workforce is getting older. We know that it is inevitable that baby boomers approaching retirement will eventually retire or leave the labour market," Bowlby said.

"That will have an impact on the labour market well into the future, probably for the next two decades."

Industry watchers say governments and corporations across the country are unprepared for the labour shortages that will result.

"Right now many organizations are in denial about the whole issue," said Linda Duxbury, a labour specialist at Carleton University's Sprott School of Business.

"Any government sector, any public sector, doesn't matter if it's municipal, provincial or federal, are going to have real big issues. The other big group that's going to have huge issues is health care and education."

Between 2001 and 2006 the country's overall annual employment growth dominated that of the G7 nations – rising at 1.7 per cent each year.

Alberta's thriving oil and gas industries and B.C.'s booming construction industry accounted for one third of the surging employment rate hike.

Researchers have been warning for years about potential labour shortages across Canada, yet, labour market analysts say employers and governments have not responded, and they are now predicting a widespread shortage of workers impacting a broad range of occupations.

The year opened with a Conference Board of Canada report warning that 90,000 jobs in the tech industry need to be filled in the next three years to avoid a $10-billion blow to the economy.

A shortage of the right kind of workers can damage a healthy economy because the labour market and economy are so tightly bound. When the ratio of workers arriving to the workplace dips below the number leaving it, it creates a drag on the economy and stagnates growth.

The looming worker shortage is compounded by a glut of middle-aged workers whose knowledge base is quickly becoming obsolete.

"We're in bit of a transition time," said Linda Franklin, president of Colleges Ontario, a group representing the province's 24 colleges of applied arts and technology.

"We have workers who are desperately in need of retraining so that they're able to do other jobs that are crying out for people."

"As time goes forward, as the baby boomers retire and as we have fewer young people coming into the workforce, we are going to face a very serious crisis."

For those entering or established in the workforce, the seller's market could produce a set of employees who will demand better wages, benefits and working conditions or they will threaten to walk.

Some say the thriving Alberta economy is a microcosm of what's to come for the nation.

Dan Kelly, Western Canadian vice-president of the Canadian Federation of Independent Business, says several firms there are tolerating corporate theft rather than fire staff they cannot easily replace.

"They're so desperate to hang onto any staff they can," he said. "They can't afford to get rid of them."

Companies which spent the last three years clamouring for the best workers – or any workers – to fill jobs as the economy booms, now find some of those who pledged their loyalty to the oilsands of Fort McMurray have marched over to Vancouver for top-dollar construction jobs ahead of the 2010 Olympics.

Finance Minister Jim Flaherty has warned that labour shortages are one of the "most daunting economic challenges" Canada will face in coming years.

In January, he said Ottawa needs to find ways to help Canada hold onto its skilled workers and draw talented immigrants to the country to help avert an economic nightmare.
 
If the dollar continues to rise, Ontario's manufacturing sector will be toast. Voila! Skilled job shortage solved.

[/cynicism]
 
Me too. Anyone know anyone willing to hire a self-centred loud-mouthed extremely organized outgoing and idea-filled semi-literate witty and wild worker?

Have: very few computer skills.
Have: very few references.
Have: an amazing ability to predict the future and read stock charts.

Please reply at your leisure,

u_d
 
Sweet... I need a job!


Me too! What the hell was I doing getting an education at university when I could have been a millwright working in Fort Mac making $90k. Then I'd be living large in a trailer and getting into bar fights that end with nose blood freezing onto the asphalt of a -40 parking lot in April. Instead I chose to be a dilettante living in a real city. Oh snap!
 
Me too! What the hell was I doing getting an education at university when I could have been a millwright working in Fort Mac making $90k. Then I'd be living large in a trailer and getting into bar fights that end with nose blood freezing onto the asphalt of a -40 parking lot in April. Instead I chose to be a dilettante living in a real city. Oh snap!

Haha... brilliant!
 
"Any government sector, any public sector, doesn't matter if it's municipal, provincial or federal, are going to have real big issues. The other big group that's going to have huge issues is health care and education."

Up until about five years ago it took an applicant forever to secure a position in the Federal government. Recently, I've heard that some departments are now hiring students for full-time government positions right at university job fairs.

As for health care, I wonder if the decisions to reduce spaces and deregulate the fee structure at medical schools is haunting some public administrators these days?
 
As for health care, I wonder if the decisions to reduce spaces and deregulate the fee structure at medical schools is haunting some public administrators these days?

Seems only children of doctors will be able to afford to become doctors...sounds like the basis for a caste system!
 
Me too! What the hell was I doing getting an education at university when I could have been a millwright working in Fort Mac making $90k.
Many of us have very much wasted our time going to university, in many cases due to parental pressure. Meanwhile, the skilled trades are employing like mad.

One of my best friends is a tower crane operator. The Ontario gov't paid for his training, and topped up his pay during his apprenticeship period. Now he's making great money, with overtime.

If my job prospects ever fade, I'll be going back to college to learn a trade me thinks. Though I am getting old...today's my 37th birthday, yeah.
 
We're completely understaffed at my office - I just got home from work after another 10 hour day. One of my friends in a similar field randomly decided to move to Toronto and started looking for a job last week. He's already been hired.

There's already a labour shortage, and it's getting ridiculous!
 
We used to import so many of our skilled workers from Europe, but now that we require a university degree for immigration, that supply has dried up. There have got to be millions of plumbers in China who'd be happy to work here, though I'd imagine the qualification standards are a bit different. We simply have to make apprenticeships more attractive for both sides. I went to school with a guy who wanted to be a plumber, but it was virtually impossible to find someone willing to take him on as an apprentice. Apparently the problem is that as soon as the apprenticeship is done, the apprentice can just go off and find somebody who'll pay a little more and all the employer's investment is lost. If we could find some kind of contract system to prevent that from happening, a lot of our issues would be resolved.
 
"Extreme worker shortage looming in Canada"? Wow, I didn't know there was that much demand for extreme workers. Tattoos and piercings and spikey mohawks must be held in high esteem by employers, I guess
 
Yes, we probably need government subsidized apprenticeships.
 
How do you figure? Apprentices are open to all sorts of tax breaks, and trade schools are almost completely subsidized already. Besides that, an apprentice already makes way more than a post-secondary student, easily enough to live off of.

The real barrier to furthering apprenticeships isn't economic, it's cultural. There's so much pressure on young adults leaving high school to continue on to university or college that most aren't even aware of the possibilities open to them with apprenticeships.

Anecdotally, the trend I've noticed is that more and more tradesman today have degrees or diplomas (either partially or fully complete). The education really doesn't provide any extra skill or qualification, but it does seem like every young guy I've talked to lately has something of the sort, whereas five or ten years ago it was unheard of.
 

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