Oh really? Parkdale, Art-Design District, Queen West, City Hall, CBD/Yonge Strip, Corktown, West Don Lands, Riverside, Studio District. Also within walking distance of Queen: Chinatown, AGO/OCAD, King West Village, Theatre District, Fashion District, Design Strip/GBC, Regent Park.
You do realize that most of those neighbourhoods could be equally well served by a King alignment through the core (and Queen in the east end). Moreover, only a hand full of your list come even half way to what's going on at CityPlace.
And if the argument that you and Northern Magnus bring up about "potential" is to be applied fairly, then what about your list? Corktown is still a work in progress. Ditto for Regent Park. And the latter is even more of a work in progress than CityPlace.
It important to note it's highly impropable that the demand levels within the new waterfront areas will ever eclipse that of the preexisitng city core, which is why when planning future transit infrastructure the focus should be on where requires the most alleviation from a real-world, not ideological, perspective.
Improbable based on what? If the city feels it necessary to build a LRT for Waterfront West instead of prioritizing improvements for the downtown streetcars, it's obvious where the planners think the demand is.
I am not going to suggest that what you are saying is patently untrue. But I would definitely not resort to rhetorical terms like "improbable" without the evidence to back it up.
Lastly on this point, just as it would be fair to consider the impact of a Queen subway on other streetcar lines like King, the reverse is also true. A line that intersects Queen twice is likely to significantly relieve Queen. Who would take a streetcar all the way to Yonge or University when half way through your ride you can catch a subway that'll get you there in minutes.
And lest we forget:
- Coming soon to Liberty Village:- Waterfront West LRT, 515 Waterfront, rerouted 63 Ossington via Liberty St, Exhibition GO Stn, Liberty Village GO Stn (Atlantic/King)
- Coming soon to East Bayfront/West Don Lands/Portlands:- 515 Waterfront, 523 Leslieville, 524 Broadview, 566 Lake Shore Express, 567 West Don via Cherry St, West Don Lands GO Stn (Cherry/Eastern)
- Coming soon to Cityplace:- Waterfront West LRT, 513 Bathurst East via Breemer, 515 Waterfront, more frequent 510 Spadina service
The fact that there's a bunch of LRT/streetcar routes servicing those areas means there's sufficient demand for transit there. One could argue it's far more efficient to service that much demand with a subway stop instead of three streetcar routes.
So it's not like the waterfront will be in desperate need of a subway line anytime soon. That on top of all of the above would be overkill.
It's always an assumption that it's all about the waterfront. It's not. That's where all the new growth is to be sure. But there are other reasons to choose the other corridors. For example, my support of King, Adelaide or Wellington is based on current ridership on King and lack of capacity at Union. It's also important for me that the target market (commuters from Scarborough and East York) be able to access stations south of the DRL with less stops than the combination of Bloor-Danforth and YUS, because that'll have yield the speed to make the line attractive.
How would Queen be any slower? To transfer trains ascending/descending flights of stairs at B-Y can take about a minute, and what if the train arrival times aren't n'sync? Longer wait. Pape to Union using B-D and Y-U-S to Union is 16 minutes. Assuming one's destination isn't a commuter rail station but an actual office building near King and Bay, taking a Queen-DRL subway that only stops 6 times in-between Pape and 'Bay South' Stn at roughly 90 seconds interval between stops, would result in a total travel time of 10 minutes, 30 seconds; or a savings of over 5 minutes.
But then you'd tack on a 5 min walk for them which could be quite tedious in the Winter. Given that most of the ridership on YUS is bound for King, St.Andrew and Union, wouldn't it make sense in your example to actually send them straight there. What could be better than sending riders straight to King and Bay?
Do you have anything apart from non sequiturs to back up your claims? How would a CNR alignment be cheaper if at-grade operation is not a option? Given its proximity to the water table, one may argue that an alignment closer to Lake Ontario runs way too much risk of flooding which can lead to tunnels collapsing in, electrical surges & failures, etc. Inland ROW would have greater geologic stability, with the added bonus of bringing with it gentrification and renewed socioeconomic growth where it's most needed (i.e. increases foot-traffic through downtown's volatile shopping districts as reliable rapid transit in/out is now affixed).
While I don't support a rail corridor alignment, I'll call BS on this scaremongering. Even the TTC has not raised red flags about the technical risk of such an alignment. It was infill decades ago, since then the YUS line and the TTC streetcar have been in operation without significant hiccups. And they were built to significantly lower engineering standards than what's demanded today. Have there been tunnels collapsing or electrical surges, etc? Lastly on this point, subways are built through bedrock. They aren't built through top soil. That it's infill won't matter when you are tunneling below the infill.
Actually I think you need to look closer. A lot of the land is still untouched. It won't be finished for 5-8 years. And, again, it's served by 3 existing LRTs and one about to be built. You point is moot.
If it's going to be finished in 5-8 years than it should most certainly be included in planning for the DRL which definitely won't come in to service for a decade or more.
So .... you're speculating that the city won't follow its official plan? Can't say I'd ever agree.
Did you read Scarberian's explanation of the challenges of avenueizing Queen? If that designation only applies to Queen addresses and does not address the low density housing in several neighbourhoods around Queen, than it's potential is most certainly limited.
Yawn. These residents will already be served by LRT lines and, when eventually built, they'd be within the catchment area of a Queen alignment.
But again you miss the point. It's not about potential density of a project but actual projected ridership of a line. Few if any people will travel to those places if they don't live or work there. On the other hand, Queen offers proper destinations throughout.
If you want to talk about ridership, Queen would definitely not be the top candidate:
http://www3.ttc.ca/PDF/Transit_Planning/subway_ridership_2007-2008.pdf
And some stats on this article by Steve Munro point out the difference in ridership between 504/508 and the 501.
Based on ridership alone, King is a far better candidate than Queen.
Union Station is a hub not a destination.
You make a statement like that and then suggest that those of us who don't support the Queen alignment are putting "non-sequiturs, straw men and false dichotomies"?
Why should it matter whether Union station is a hub or a destination? All of a sudden 80 000 riders a day are irrelevant because they are going through a hub? Wow.
So you admit you make up "completely unrealistic" assumptions to support your ideas? Um, ok.
At least he/she is honestly caveating his/her statements which is much more than anything you've put up here. Gweed followed that assumption with analysis and than further pointed out that the 17 000 riders Metrolinx assumes will be diverted from Yonge-Bloor will make the line viable. What's completely unrealistic about Gweed's analysis? Can you say for sure with 100% certainty that 100% of Queen's ridership would transfer to a subway?
Oh, and Metrolinx is making projections about something called the "DCL". Relief will be one of its many functions, but not its sole one.
Sadly, you may be right. The powers that be in this town have a strong record on screwing over commuters from Scarborough. I would not be surprised one bit if once again they prioritized downtowners over the bulk of the TTC's ridership who will use that line.