News   Dec 12, 2025
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Canada and the World

Most relevant to us is that they say:

1) That they will help right wing parties in Europe.

2) They won't interfere in China and Russia.

3) Countries substantially reliant on the US for security should give sole source contracts to American companies.

I'd be more worried if I thought they were competent enough to operationalize a lot of this.

If there's one silver lining to this timeline is that the average Canadian is being forced to be slightly less ignorant about national security issues. Unfortunately, the complete lack of interest in the matter over the years and the broadly childish approach (defining everything through the Americentric lens) has left us massively out of practice. Our governments don't even publish regular comprehensive strategies.
 
I worry less about the Americans invading Canada. I worry about what happens if there is an incident in the Arctic or off our coasts and we have to ask for help. They'll help. But they'll take it at recognition that we aren't fully sovereign. Canadians have to get over the idea that military stuff is something only for the Americans to do. They won't respect us if we can't exercise control over our entire territory.
 
Someone forwarded the opening video for the 2025 Halifax Security Conference. It's pretty decent - about 9 minutes. A couple of subtle digs.

I am told the US did not send an official delegation, but it seems some high-ranking military staff decided to take vacation and spend it in Halifax.

Touching. Hits harder than the Reagan ad ever could. We should rent 9 minutes or the superbowl halftime show and run this video.
 
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It's nonsensical that the UK and France, two G7 economies and P5 members are not considered worthy. But Russia with an economy the size of Italy is. All of Europe is treated as a prize to split between the US and Russia. This whole thing is beyond ignorant.
In reality, isn't the EU more like greater Germany? The idea that Russia should consider Europe their sphere of influence is kind of laughable. And most of Europe would more readily align with Germany as a power centre than Russia or the US if the US became purely transactional.
 
In reality, isn't the EU more like greater Germany? The idea that Russia should consider Europe their sphere of influence is kind of laughable. And most of Europe would more readily align with Germany as a power centre than Russia or the US if the US became purely transactional.

Germany and France are the two major poles of the EU. Though I'd argue that Spain and Italy aren't bit players. And Poland is growing in importance everyday.

I would agree that their worldview on Europe is less than sophomoric. Edgy teenagers probably have better takes.

Mostly though in worrying about Canada, I'd really like us to start producing proper national strategy documents.
 
There's a few places I agree with the Trumpists.

First of, a lot of American allies were way too dependent on the US for their security. In our case, our military is half the size it was at the end of the Cold War, despite having 46% more people and 64% more GDP.

Next, it's not clear that any aid gives and trade concessions the US makes wins them influence. The Chinese spend pennies on developing assistance and seem to supplant the US all over the Global South in trade and influence.

All of that is a raw deal for the American taxpayer. So naturally some backlash should be expected.

Yet the Trump Administration NSS is sophomoric slop that doesn't think through their goals here.
 
I hope the Democrats are working on their own version of project 2025--a plan to rapidly smash the legacy of the Trump administration.
 
I hope the Democrats are working on their own version of project 2025--a plan to rapidly smash the legacy of the Trump administration.

Unlikely, there's things that Trump is doing that are irreversible. They can't rebuild agencies that have been shuttered very easily. And good luck unscrewing the judiciary.

Democrats fighting each other over perfection and culture wars while ignoring the wolf at the door, will go down in the history books as some of the greatest blunders.
 
I worry less about the Americans invading Canada. I worry about what happens if there is an incident in the Arctic or off our coasts and we have to ask for help. They'll help. But they'll take it at recognition that we aren't fully sovereign. Canadians have to get over the idea that military stuff is something only for the Americans to do. They won't respect us if we can't exercise control over our entire territory.
I'm curious. What is this "incident" in the Arctic or off our coasts that you worry so much about that will require Canada to ask (beg?) for help from the Americans?

Are you worried another Chinese weather balloon will be blown off course requiring American F-35's to scramble from Eielson Air Force Base Alaska to shoot it down over the Canadian north? Or what about that "menacing" balloon that turned out to be a hobbyist balloon that was shot down by American fighter jets over Lake Huron. Where were Canada's CF-18's when we needed them to neutralize this great threat to southern Ontario from a $100 hobbyist balloon? Instead we had to rely on our American "ally" to protect southern Ontario from a hobbyist balloon (no joke, this was like a $100 hobbyist balloon bought from a "Hobby-Lobby" store).

What exactly are you worried about?

You say, "They [Americans] won't respect us if we can't exercise control over our entire territory". The Americans already don't respect Canada because we don't DEMAND respect and when has Canada been fully sovereign? As long as I have been alive Canada has been an American vassal state. This has been ever thus. It was true in 1958 when I was born. In that year the US ordered PM Diefenbaker to cancel the Avro Arrow program and turn the prototypes into aluminum pots and pans. As for not having "control over our entire territory" Canada contributes 40% to the cost of NORAD which exists solely for the defense of the continental United States so explain that.

If I was Prime Minister I would give Trump an ultimatum. Drop ALL tariffs on Canada or we will exit NORAD completely and you can defend the continental U.S. from positions along the 49th parallel. Also, take all your early warning radar systems out of our Arctic.
 
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Someone forwarded the opening video for the 2025 Halifax Security Conference. It's pretty decent - about 9 minutes. A couple of subtle digs.

I am told the US did not send an official delegation, but it seems some high-ranking military staff decided to take vacation and spend it in Halifax.

More on this conference:


It is way more interesting than the headline itself. We are not returning to the old post-war order, it is not possible if America's closest friends and allies now have a de facto Gaullist worldview as it relates to their trust in Washington, which is an entirely different conceptual structure from the post-war order and will persist and underpin national security planning for all Allied nations moving forward.
 

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