wild goose chase
Active Member
And if not, which areas might become closest to it in the near future? I could imagine that if immigration shifts even more to the 905 area in a generation or so and declines even more in the 416 as a whole, parts of the city (especially the old city) will start to have more minorities who are second and third generation Canadians. The proportion of foreign-born in the city seems stable at near 50% or possibly slightly dropping, and I'd imagine the share of native born among minorities will rise. Also increasingly more people might have one foreign born and one native born parent if newcomers marry more established residents.
When discussing the income polarization in Toronto, there is mention that lower income areas have both more minorities and more recent immigrants, who take time to achieve upward mobility. But in discussions about Toronto, "immigrant" and "visible minority" are often conflated (more so than in cities like New York city, LA that are similarly diverse as our own yet have not only high proportions of foreign-born but native-born minorities), and factors like lack of English proficiency, cultural adjustment and foreign diplomas vs. Canadian education, though relevant to and assumed to interfere with social mobility of newcomers, would likely not be problems for second generation Canadians. I could envision many second generation Canadians, no longer facing the barriers (cultural, economic etc.) of their parents, leaving suburban ethnoburbs to return to downtown living while the ring of ethnoburbs and the belt of area with highest % immigrant move away even more outward.
When discussing the income polarization in Toronto, there is mention that lower income areas have both more minorities and more recent immigrants, who take time to achieve upward mobility. But in discussions about Toronto, "immigrant" and "visible minority" are often conflated (more so than in cities like New York city, LA that are similarly diverse as our own yet have not only high proportions of foreign-born but native-born minorities), and factors like lack of English proficiency, cultural adjustment and foreign diplomas vs. Canadian education, though relevant to and assumed to interfere with social mobility of newcomers, would likely not be problems for second generation Canadians. I could envision many second generation Canadians, no longer facing the barriers (cultural, economic etc.) of their parents, leaving suburban ethnoburbs to return to downtown living while the ring of ethnoburbs and the belt of area with highest % immigrant move away even more outward.