AlvinofDiaspar
Moderator
Carpetbagger alert!
Somehow he reminded me of Waterford in Handmaid's Tale.
AoD
Carpetbagger alert!
Election polling is off to a curious start; 2 weeks ago, by and large, the Libs had a healthy lead over a seemingly flailing Conservative Party.
Today most polls are put the Libs/Cons within the margin of error of each other, or essentially tied.
This shows up as the Cons have added 1 or 2 points, the NDP have adding 4-5 points and that being shaved off the Liberal total.
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All of the above are taken from: https://twitter.com/CanadianPolling?ref_src=twsrc^google|twcamp^serp|twgr^author
Among those putting out seat count models:
Lean Toss Up: 170 Lib (1 seat majority); Cons 107, NDP 30, BQ 29, Green 2
338 Canada : 156 Lib (minority), Cons 116, NDP 36, BQ 27, Greens 2
Calculated Politics: Libs 172 (2-seat majority), Cons 117, NDP 27, BQ 20, Greens 2
I imagine this is Singh's last election with a child on the way. The NDP are picking up steam but in desperate lead of a more charismatic leader. The child is the perfect reason for him to step back and have someone else take the reigns.This election is becoming so unpredictable. At the start I would have assumed the liberals were taking a majority.
Now I'm wondering if Justin will resign if they lose..
Typically a PM resigns when they lose office. Only way he wouldn't is if CPC gets a small minority just a bit larger than LPC outcome, and LPC could potentially govern with NDP. CPC may get first kick at the can to form government.This election is becoming so unpredictable. At the start I would have assumed the liberals were taking a majority.
Now I'm wondering if Justin will resign if they lose..
The Greens are waaay behind in nominating candidates. For instance, they have pockets of support in Parkdale-High Park and Toronto-Danforth, but still haven't nominated anyone.