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  1. K

    46th Canadian General Election

    There was an article years ago that described the housing crisis as the source of multiple problems from climate change to obesity to flagging productivity and fertility. https://worksinprogress.co/issue/the-housing-theory-of-everything/ I would now add politics to the equation in Canada...
  2. K

    PM Justin Trudeau's Canada

    He isn't. It's a party that hates supply management and sees it as something benefit Eastern Canada farmers. They'll happily toss it under the proverbial bus. Can't wait to see how shocked people are to discover how much Poilievre is willing to give away. The guy only cares about beating...
  3. K

    The Coming Disruption of Transport

    Most of the world imports oil. And a lot of the places that import oil are poor. Burning their meager wealth for mobility is a bad deal. And unlike us they don't need 3000 lb SUVs and pickups to get around, so using batteries is actually much easier. Paradoxically, electrification might go...
  4. K

    The Coming Disruption of Transport

    To be clear, I am not saying that the use of oil is going away anytime soon. But the electrification of transport will dramatically change the demand for oil. That in turn will massively change both economics and geopolitics. When Africans are adopting electric Tuk Tuks, we're in another...
  5. K

    The Coming Disruption of Transport

    30 years ago we didn't have EVs capable of going several hundred kms. Heck, we didn't really have those 15 years ago. Look at the oil demand curve since the introduction of EVs. And more importantly look at the rate of growth. 15 years from now EVs will be just as cheap as gas cars are...
  6. K

    The Coming Disruption of Transport

    A lot of people don't understand exponential growth. And in this case, a lot of politicians (particularly on the right) don't understand that the cleantech sector is 10x the size it was when Trump last entered office in 2017. Not understanding this will be the downfall of so many of their...
  7. K

    46th Canadian General Election

    What? If polling is accurate, the homeowners (mostly older) are voting Liberal. And the renters (mostly frustrated young and middle aged) are voting Conservative. I don't think the usual tropes apply here.
  8. K

    PM Justin Trudeau's Canada

    And Quebecers will never give a majority of seats to a non-Quebecer so eventually the LPC will be back to a Quebecer after losing 2-3 elections to the CPC. It's unfortunate that the Liberals have never developed enough in the ROC to reduce their reliance on Quebec.
  9. K

    Canada and the World

    Last two years of the Trump administration are going to be fun. https://defence-blog.com/china-places-massive-order-for-kamikaze-drones/
  10. K

    PM Justin Trudeau's Canada

    Pretty hard to get those jobs when the current POTUS opposes the nomination, and the current government (assuming CPC) may not support it, and the allies consider the country making the nomination to be a freeloader.
  11. K

    PM Justin Trudeau's Canada

    I think DoFo was holding off because he thought the LPC would last till the Spring. I have heard on podcasts the PCPO was planning for Jan/Feb. This thing with Trudeau will definitely push him to pull the trigger as soon as he can in Jan. And he's going to win. We'll have a double...
  12. K

    PM Justin Trudeau's Canada

    The Liberals are toast. But a conservative riding voting blue shouldn't be a surprise.
  13. K

    PM Justin Trudeau's Canada

    Even if you have tens of millions in the bank, the pension has a present value of millions. It's still beer money that he'd probably want. That said, Singh will probably win his election. I don't think he's that worried. I think he's more worried for MPs who will get turfed.
  14. K

    PM Justin Trudeau's Canada

    Nah. That pension gives Trudeau leverage. He can pack the budget just like he wants and force the NDP to support it or trigger the election.
  15. K

    Canada and the World

    If you're not a white guy, feels like the US might be more precarious these days. But also, members who have school age kids have been weary about American postings for a while with school shootings. Of course, we can send our kids to private schools abroad. But that's no safety guarantee...
  16. K

    Canada and the World

    This is just it. They are in only slightly better shape than us. They don't have a ton of extra kit to keep as training stores in a foreign country these days. And it's kinda funny to hear Canadians (not you) who want the economic activity, suggest that they can do that, when we can't do the...
  17. K

    PM Justin Trudeau's Canada

    The public doesn't care at all about this. That's how bad the Liberals are. They overahadow everything.
  18. K

    PM Justin Trudeau's Canada

    Canada being seen as one of the freeloaders in NATO all but guarantees that Canadians won't have support when pitching for those jobs. And this is before we discuss the fact that her scathing letter probably makes her nomination a non-starter. At least from this government. Probably the next too.
  19. K

    PM Justin Trudeau's Canada

    Two ministers in basically a day.
  20. K

    PM Justin Trudeau's Canada

    It wasn't climate programs. It wasn't infrastructure. It was mostly social spending. More generous transfers of all kinds. And new programs like CCB.

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