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News from the Middle East

Iran successful struck an American airbase with a combined drone and ballistic missile assault, wounding 10 servicemen and damaging several aerial refueling tankers.


That is a big hit to the US force projection capability around the world. And something tells me timing this attack when the refuelers are back at base and in close proximity to each other - that required live satellite intel to pull off. And it's not that hard to guess which country may have provided such valuable intel to the Islamic Republic.
You have to give credit to the Iranians. These guys are hitting back hard against the US superpower.
 
You have to give credit to the Iranians. These guys are hitting back hard against the US superpower.
They're hitting with what they have. It's less of a credit to the military prowess of IRGC and more of a case of arrogant overconfident stupidity on the US part. Years of bombing insurgents back into the stone age gave the US armed forces a delusion of invincibility. And even though they've had 4 full years to observe how modern drone and missile warfare looks like in Ukraine, they had zero takeaways. Russia literally lost dozens of aircraft this exact way to Ukrainian drone strikes. And even though Russians are really slow on the uptake, even they learned these lessons: don't park your planes out in the open, don't bunch them together, park planes under a cover, any cover (even a steel wire camo net will do just fine to prevent a drone from getting through).

The Americans looked at Russia losing a third of their strategic bombers to drones, and this is how they deployed to the Middle East:

IMG_20260328_150504_684.jpg


This is just R-word level of dumb...
 
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The E-3 is based on the Boeing 707 and getting pretty long in the tooth. The last one rolled out in 1992. Others may know better but I believe the US has walked away from its intended replacement, the 737-based E-7 and is now going with the USN's turboprop E-2D which an airframe going back to the 1960s. I don't know but have a hard time believing it would have comparable range and capabilities. Much like the long delayed and problem plagued replacement for their tanker fleet, the US isn't in a great position to loose a lot of strategic assets.
 
The Kurdish ground invasion of Iran that never was:


According to recent Israeli reporting, Trump started the strikes against Iran counting on Kurds to be the boots on the ground. After initial strikes and shaping operations, Kurds were supposed to cross Iran's northern border with Iraq and fight their way to Tehran, assisted by US combat air support. These shaping operations even took place in the first week of strikes on Iran, with US/Israel heavily focusing their air strikes on this border region.
But the Kurds never invaded. They got spooked by media leaks, demanded assurances from Trump that he wasn't going to leave them hanging like he did with the Syrian Kurds back in 2019. They never got these assurances, so they sat this one out.

Good on them.
 
Parking aircraft outside was always stupid. We do it a lot at home. And heck, even the pro-Gripen camp was whining about how the F-35 needs fancy hangars. This is why you park everything that is expensive inside.
Finding a hardened hanger for several large aircraft might be tricky. But these aircraft have immense range, so there was no need to base them so close to Iran.
 
That will buff right out
LOL. Why are they claiming that as "damaged". It's akin to saying JFK had a bad haircut in Dallas.

If i was Iran I'd send cargo ships into the Gulf armed with antiship missiles. It's easily done with containers, making any civilian ship a warship.


The USN certainly allows cargo vessels to approach their carriers, as the collision last year of the USS Harry S. Truman shows.

btazxhfr1mic1.jpeg


Now that it's open war the permissible distance will be extended, but if the Q-Ship can get off two dozen antiship missiles at close range the CIWS and SAMs on the carrier and its escorts may not catch them all. And it just takes one missile on a crowded flight deck to disable a supercarrier, as shown here https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/USS_Enterprise_fire and https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1967_USS_Forrestal_fire.
 
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If i was Iran I'd send cargo ships into the Gulf armed with antiship missiles.
but if the Q-Ship can get off two dozen antiship missiles at close range the CIWS and SAMs on the carrier and its escorts may not catch them all.
... don't give then any ideas! :)
Iran did test a containerized missile system 2 years ago. Not sure how many operational systems they have by now, but I assume it's a non-zero number.
 
Finding a hardened hanger for several large aircraft might be tricky. But these aircraft have immense range, so there was no need to base them so close to Iran.

The thing is, it doesn't have to be hardened cover to be effective against the one-way attack drones. All it has to be is some sort of cover. This is an example of a Russian solution to the problem:
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image source

Granted, ^ this would only work against FPV drones, not the larger Shahed drones. And it's even questionable against FPVs given that the sides are wide-open. But with Russians, it's the thought that counts.

Here is a ready-made commercial solution US already has:
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image source

Depending on what you make the canopy out of (i.e. reinforce it with a steel wire net), it can be effective at stopping the shahed one-way attack drones.
 
The thing is, it doesn't have to be hardened cover to be effective against the one-way attack drones. All it has to be is some sort of cover
From what I see online, the E-3 Sentry was hit by a ballistic missile, not a drone. The only way to keep the Sentries safe is to park them away from the warzone.
 
From what I see online, the E-3 Sentry was hit by a ballistic missile, not a drone. The only way to keep the Sentries safe is to park them away from the warzone.
Yes, the aircraft that will cost $700M to replace should have probably been kept either away or in one of the hangars that exist on the airfield. I was more talking about the other forward-deployed aircraft that can benefit from such cover.

Also, while the the tent hangar will not have stopped the ballistic missile, it would have offered an element of concealment. These strikes were targeted using satellite intel. It's hard to tell on the satellite imagery which tents are housing which planes at what time. And if you have 100 tents to chose from and one ballistic missile, the odds of you striking something as important as an E3 Sentry are quite small.
 

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