Whatever I kept saying about Toronto-Montreal Express services skipping Ottawa also applies to Ottawa-Quebec services skipping Montreal:
- The combined ridership of the to-be-skipped cities exceeds those of the city to be skipped: (TO+OM)>TM or (OM+MQ)>OQ
- The ridership for trains skipping cities like Ottawa or Montreal is too small to fill entire trains
- Having trains skip cities like Ottawa and Montreal will always make you lose more passengers than you could ever gain by cutting 10-20 off travel time for markets like TM or OQ
The fatal fault of Ottawa’s VIA station is not the ease of transfers into downtown Ottawa, but its substandard integration into Ottawa’s existing transit networks: If they had consolidated at least one of the two nearby transit hubs (Hurdman or Saint-Laurent) at Tremblay Road, it would have at least some relevance as a destination in its own right. If you look across the world, those intercity rail stations which also act as non-rail hubs tend to prosper, while those nobody ever visits for any other reason than taking an intercity train tend to fail. Ottawa clearly falls into the second category. One LRT line and a taxi stand makes no mobility hub, after all.
That said, ALTO stopping at Tremblay Road would simply match the Status Quo, whereas moving the ALTO stop away from where VIA Rail currently serves Montreal or Toronto would represent a massive inconvenience added…
The REM went in just 2 years from the public reveal of any details to construction and we already started discussing the need of $10+billion tunnels solely caused by the refusal of its promoters to consider anything beyond their narrow mandate multiple years before even the first passenger travelled (this month) through the Mont-Royal Tunnel. If you want more such insanity, then haste for the sake of haste is indeed your best friend…
We really need to stop calling “having made estimations which turned out to be overoptimistic” as “lies”. I find any attempt to quantify costs more honest than the federal minister of Transportation yesterday who basically refused to name even a rough range for fear that he might have his name associated with that figure…