News   Apr 10, 2026
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The coming $26 billion windfall for the Canadian Armed Forces. What to buy?

The CEO of Germany's TKMS was on the CBC a couple weeks ago and was pretty dismissive of the South Korean proposal, coming off as arrogant. Said they didn't need to publicize their bid like Hanwha was, because "we're the serious guys — we're Germans".
Arrogance (a dismissive attitude towards others), and hubris (a false sense of invincibility) has led the German people into trouble over more than 150 years. Nowadays, look how the Chinese are now taking over the EV business in Europe, a space where VW-Audi should be dominant.

Canada’s challenge for the submarines is that after the first German unit is rushed to deliver, the final boats won’t be delivered until well into the 2040s. Meanwhile the Koreans will have delivered all of the boats by the 2030s.
 
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Well, not Collingwood, but Hamilton just got a boost.



The Koreans are really sweetening the deal to get their subs across the finish line.
One of the advantages of Hanwha Korea is they can build like ten ships at once at their shipyard. All at various stages. Mass production to take advantage of economy of scale. I don't believe their US operation has space to do anything near that. A Canadian shipyard to make sense would also need to consider that.

Hanwha, which owns one of the only U.S. shipyards still building large commercial cargo ships, has its main shipyard in South Korea. While the Hanwha in Philadelphia rolls out around one ship a year, a South Korean Hanwha shipyard makes one a week.
"You might think, 'Well, seems like an easy problem to solve. Go build the ship, transport the gas,'" Grabow said. "Except the math doesn't work. If you want to build one of those ships in Asia, the cost is around $260 million; here in the United States? About $1 billion!"
The Philadelphia shipyard, now owned by Hanwha, was once a symbol of American might and innovation. Ships built there helped the U.S. win its independence in the 18th century, and WWII in the 20th.

Today, it's become a symbol of American industrial decline, a money loser falling decades behind global rivals. The yard still uses a crane from 1942.

Hanwha bought the Philadelphia shipyard in 2024 for $100 million, then poured in another $100 million and tasked David Kim, a Korean American born in Texas, to bring the yard into the 21st century. The company plans to spend $5 billion in Philadelphia. The hope is to eventually make 20 ships a year at the yard.
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That said to be fair, that Arctic base won't be a year round thing. They'll end up kinda like what we do for Alert where we post in rotations of 6 months. Or we end up with some kind of manning cycle where various units have an obligation to staff the place for 4 months every 2-3 years.
Looks like it's a dog.

 
Korea’s sending one of its new subs 14,000 kms to Victoria, BC. I bet it doesn’t catch fire like the British one did.



Imagine if after the 14,000 Km run to Esquimalt, the Koreans sail a further 10,000 Km northeast, including under the remaining ice, to Halifax, before sailing a further 20,000 km around Africa and home for a circumnavigation.
 
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Looks like it's a dog.

The issue of pier settling/shifting isn't new. The Harper government tried to do something that looked pretty but on the cheap by trying to leverage abandoned existing facilities and, like most governments, was only interested in the announcement. Why they didn't want to build something near an existing facility, or even build/contract an ice-strengthened oiler is beyond me.

Korea’s sending one of its new subs 14,000 kms to Victoria, BC. I bet it doesn’t catch fire like the British one did.



Imagine if after the 14,000 Km run to Esquimalt, the Koreans sail a further 10,000 Km northeast, including under the remaining ice, to Halifax, before sailing a further 20,000 km around Africa and home for a circumnavigation.
Not a bad 'full court press' demo ride. Top that Germany.
 
Defence Reporter Murray Brewster takes the government to task online for what he alleges is an increasing lack of transparency regarding recent defence expenditures.


Increasing defence spending currently enjoys broad support across Canada. However, that could change if its perceived the spending is being mismanaged or not transparent.
 
Defence Reporter Murray Brewster takes the government to task online for what he alleges is an increasing lack of transparency regarding recent defence expenditures.

The government doesn't usually give out contract terms on national security contracts. This is a practice not just for this government. Brewster knows this.
 
Today's shoot downs in Iran show you how vulnerable 4th gen jets. Just imagine 10, 20, 30, 40 years from now.
 
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Not a bad 'full court press' demo ride. Top that Germany.
Indeed. Germany doesn’t seem to recognize that their export market for submarines is at great risk. Since 2000 Germany has sold forty-five submarines to ten countries: Greece (Type 214, 4), Portugal (Type 209PN/214 variant, 2), Italy (Type 212A, 4), Norway (Type 212CD, 4 on order), Israel (Dolphin/Dolphin II, 6 since 2000 deliveries), Turkey (Type 214, 6 building), South Korea (Type 214, 9), Singapore (Type 218SG, 4), South Africa (Type 209/1400, 3), Brazil (Type 209/1400, 1 delivered post-2000), and Egypt (Type 209/1400mod, 4). If Canada takes the Korean sub this whole market may shift away from Germany.

Korea's sub has arrived in Guam. I wonder if this is the first time this century that a SSK has ported here. I suppose a Japanese sub might have stopped by.

 
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After what the world has witnessed over the last 40 days in the Middle East, I would hope that Canada is not still contemplating purchasing billions of dollars in conventional weapon systems such as submarines, "stealth" fighters or frigates i.e. weapon systems that were used to fight the wars of the past. Instead, Canada should look to Iran for inspiration (and Ukraine for that matter!) for how we could defend against an attack by the United States. Yes, the United States!

The once unthinkable is longer unthinkable after Trump. Canada is the second richest country in the world in terms of natural resources just behind Russia. We need to take our collective heads out of the sand and come to grips with the fact Canada could come under attack from our "friend" and "ally" to the South. According to a recent report in the CBC Trump wanted to annex parts of Canada but backed off when he discovered that King Charles, who he respects, was the Head of State of Canada: Trump's respect for King Charles possibly quashed desire to annex Canada, says royal commentator

Trump is not the first US president to covet Canada's vast riches on Americas doorstep, and he won't be the last, so we need to stop pretending that the US will respect our sovereignty or that Europe will somehow come to our defense if the Americans invade us. This is where Iran could provide the inspiration and template for a new Canadian defense force. A defense force focused solely on protecting the Canadian homeland not trying to "project power" around the world in defense of imagined "allies". Why does Canada have naval vessels plying the South China Sea trying to antagonize China? Why does Canada have troops deployed in the Baltics? I would start by renaming the Canadian Armed Forces the Canadian Civil Defense Force "CCDF". I would contemplate making service in the CCDF mandatory just as is done in Israel with the IDF. The writing is on the wall. NATO is dead. Canada needs to wake up to the fact that no military alliance will save us if we are ever under attack (from anyone). We need to be prepared to take care of ourselves. We need to prepare just as Iran has done over the last five decades.

Iran has been under American and world sanctions for almost 50 years. Its military budget is just a tiny fraction of the American military budget and yet look what Iran has been able to accomplish in just forty days. Iran was able to obliterate every American military base in the Gulf Arab region with its advanced missiles and drones - some of the most advanced in the world. It was able to destroy every American advanced early-warning radar installation in the region, installations costing a billion dollars each using drones that cost just $30K and in doing so blinding failed American air defense systems such as Patriot and THAAD and along with that the vaunted Israeli "Iron Dome".

Today Iran has a stranglehold on the Strait of Hormuz and thus the World's economy. Iran has not only brought the United States to its knees but the world economy! When the Strait of Hormuz eventually opens up it will be subject to tolls of about $2 million per tanker. Before Trump launched his illegal war of aggression all tankers transited the Strait for free.

Iran is winning by using asymmetric warfare. Short of dropping nukes on Iran the Americans and Israelis cannot defeat Iran. I predict when this war is over Iran will emerge as the Middle East hegemon and the emerging fourth unipolar power after China, United States, Russia and Iran (in that order). Trumps decision to start an ILLEGAL unprovoked war of aggression against Iran will go down as one of the biggest blunders by an American president and of course Trump did not wage this war on behalf of the United States. Trump is about to go down as the WORST AMERICAN PRESIDENT IN HISTORY!
 
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