urbanclient
Active Member
With how slow the train might be coming out of Toronto (see sources posted on this thread), I doubt a route average of 250 km/h is possible, plus 500 km would be the great circle distance Toronto to Montreal, not the euclidean line distance to Ottawa and then Montreal. Alto Toronto to Montreal would be closer to 550 km at best (someone correct me if I'm wrong).Half of 500 is 250. An average of 250km/hr should be achievable. That would mean a top speed for most of the route of at least 300km/hr to allow for slowing down into the stations. And this would be the T-O-M-QC express.
More importantly, trains do not cruise at top speed the entire time and only Chinese built HSR operates at up to 350 km/h. HSR must slow down for curves necessitated by geography, both physical and human. This applies even in China, where lines are mostly on elevated viaducts, unlike Alto. 250 km/h route average would be very fast, even by Chinese standards. This would easily rank in the top 20* edit* top 10 in China out of ~50 total lines, the entire top 10 hitting 350 km/h. Number 1 is Beijing to Shanghai at ~290 km/h terminus to terminus; shorter point to point trips can be a bit faster at ~315 km/h.
Look at my screenshots, flying is somehow cheaper for Dec 29-Jan 2. Is two weeks notice that late for train tickets? You can't even buy train tickets sooner than 15 days in China. Obviously I'm not covering all cases, but Via is often more expensive than flying if you leave within a month's notice. Both in the my past experience and today.AIrfare isn't cheaper the closer you get to the date either.
Via also doesn't appear to be particularly demand based; they almost strictly go off how close you are to the trip date, which is really dumb, because it leaves many seats unsold. I've been on relatively empty and very full trains, both during peak travel season before. Anecdotal, but I think Via pricing could definitely be optimized.
Alto being exorbitantly expensive will dampen the nation building part of this project. Right now I can book a Madrid - Barcelona round trip Dec 16 - 18 (Spain time) for almost half the price of Via. These are two cities with roughly the same total population as Toronto - Montreal. Via is before tax, trainline is after tax.I highly doubt HSR is going to be cheap. It's not cheap on long haul is most other countries. Even in Europe, most HSR is business travel, supercommuters and the wealthier tourists. Families will still roadtrip often enough.
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