CBRE has released their Toronto Office MarketView report for Q3 2015, showing relatively consistent market conditions in the GTA. During this period, the GTA market saw negligible net absorption, with a 20 basis point increase in vacancy rate to 9.9% from 9.7%, and a 2.1% decrease in net rental rate. In dollar terms, this brought the average net rental rate down from $18.61 to $18.22 per square foot, a trend partly driven by the high-end office space taken off the market in the Midtown area.

The report highlights a growing disparity between Downtown and Suburban markets. Increased tenant demand in Central Toronto led to a positive net absorption in 8 of 10 submarkets, while the Central Toronto vacancy rate decreased by 40 basis points to 5.4%, dropping to a one-year low. As tenants flocked to the city centre, however, the suburban office market saw vacancy increase by 90 basis points to 15.1% quarter-over-quarter—an 11-year high—representing the continuation of a slow decline in the Suburban market.

CBRE Q3 2015 Office Market Report, image courtesy of CBRE

According to the report, an 8.8% increase in occupied space in Downtown and Midtown over the last five years can be attributed to healthy demand for new buildings and back-filling of vacated space in existing buildings. Despite this, the Downtown vacancy rate is expected to rise over the next two years as a result of tenants relocating into new buildings. Several of these existing properties will require significant upgrades to stay competitive with a number of Class A towers expected to come online in the near future.

The Downtown Toronto market also saw strong leasing activity through the summer, with 547,356 square feet of positive net absorption and a 0.4% quarter-over-quarter decrease in overall vacancy to 5.0%. Roughly half of the positive absorption can be attributed to the recently completed QRC West development, which came online 96% leased.

Full details are available from CBRE Market Watch.