dende
New Member
I read that Chow's campaign manager sent out a letter that said that there was an eight point difference in both Ford's and Chow's numbers between the two days of the forum poll, well outside the margin of error. I think this letter was posted somewhere on this forum. That would imply that the first day's preliminary result, which I think was the basis for the scary poll people were talking about was: Ford: 35 Tory: 34 Chow: 19. This assumes that Tory stays the same on both days and that an equal amount of people were polled on each day. The second day would then have been Ford: 27 Tory: 34 Chow: 27 which is somewhat close to the previous forum poll. (It could be the case that Chow got 19 on the first day though)
Am I interpreting this right in thinking that the first night of polling may have been a statistical anomaly as Eric Grenier suggests?
Am I interpreting this right in thinking that the first night of polling may have been a statistical anomaly as Eric Grenier suggests?