Throughout October UrbanToronto is featuring a special State of Housing editorial series to examine the pressing housing challenges facing Toronto and the Greater Golden Horseshoe.
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The year 2025 has presented significant challenges for the homebuilding industry. The crisis has enveloped the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) and deepened in other major urban centres across the country and, without intervention, is poised to continue. The cost to build has outstripped the market’s ability to absorb and new housing construction is slowing. Based on our Altus New Home Sales Data, new home sales in 2025 to date have been lower than the early 1990s, the worst on record, so housing starts are declining and jobs are being lost. This will have dire consequences for housing supply in the GTA in the future.
For much of this past year, BILD has focused on achieving long-term structural policy change on the issues that have led to this point. Progress has been painfully slow for the demands facing the Greater Toronto Area, but there is progress. Even more importantly, the tone and direction of debate have shifted markedly.
There is now an emerging consensus on how to solve the problem; lowering government fees and taxes, attracting capital of all types to support residential construction, and expediting approvals. Governments at all levels, stakeholders, media, government agencies, and the industry itself now recognize the solution. Taxes must be reduced, land must be made available, a capital-friendly environment created, and red tape cut to allow the industry to do its job and build the homes residents of the GTA need.
However, the ability to create change is now caught among competing priorities, primarily fiscal in nature, and to a lesser extent in philosophical beliefs about what road defines the solution. As we look ahead to 2026, we must all work in partnership (the housing industry, interested stakeholders, governments) to seek out the solutions that will work not just in lower cost jurisdictions in the rest of Canada, but right here in the GTA where the need is the greatest.
The roadmap is very clear:
- Update the GST rebate to cover the first $1 million of the purchase price and apply it to all new homes and those substantially renovated existing dwellings. The current first-time buyer focused GST exception is too narrow and will benefit very few prospective buyers in the GTA. In fact, Canada’s own Parliamentary Budget Officer estimates that nationally only 12,000 buyers will benefit – this is generationally and geographically unfair and falls short of the relief required.
- We must substantially reduce development charges and other new housing charges through structural changes to ensure only those costs directly related to growth are the responsibility of new homeowners. The inflationary impacts of these fees on housing must be brought under control.
- We need to develop a collective sense of urgency around building new homes. Municipalities must speed approvals, residents must understand the collective need and negative impacts of slowing development, both socially and economically, and the industry must get shovels in the ground and ensure their products meet the evolving needs of residents.
- RBC estimates that a trillion dollars of capital is required to meet Canada’s housing requirements over the next decade. We must all ensure that in the global competition for capital, Canada’s policies and programs embrace and welcome capital of all forms, including adjusting foreign buyers’ requirements to align with similar countries like Australia and New Zealand.
In 2026, progress will continue. A sustained, coordinated effort will be required. We collectively cannot accept the continuation of the status quo of benign neglect simply because the impact is greatest in the Greater Toronto Area. It is precisely because the impact is greatest in the Greater Toronto Area, the economic engine of Canada, that residents, the industry, and local government should demand better.
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Dave Wilkes is the President & CEO of BILD
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UrbanToronto's research and data service, UTPro, provides comprehensive data on construction projects in the Greater Golden Horseshoe—from proposal through to completion. Other services include Instant Reports, downloadable snapshots based on location, and a daily subscription newsletter, New Development Insider, that tracks projects from initial application.
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Thank you to the companies joining UrbanToronto to celebrate State of Housing Month.
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