TRREB’s MLS System has reported a record 121,712 sales in 2021 — a 7.7% increase from the previous 2016 high of 113,040, and a 28% increase compared to 2020. Despite a constrained supply of listings, record demand persisted, with new listings up by 6.2% — a lesser annual rate than sales. The result was extremely tight market conditions, and an all-time high average selling price of $1,095,475, which was an increase of 17.8% compared to the previous 2020 record of $929,636.

“Despite continuing waves of COVID-19, demand for ownership housing sustained a record pace in 2021," said TRREB President Kevin Crigger. "Growth in many sectors of the economy supported job creation, especially in positions supporting above-average earnings. Added to this was the fact that borrowing costs remained extremely low. These factors supported not only a continuation in demand for ground-oriented homes, but also a resurgence in the condo segment as well.”

Humber Bay Shores, image by UT Forum contributor 67Cup

One sales trend that stood out in 2021 compared to the year prior was the resurgence in demand for homes within the City of Toronto. Overall sales in the “416” area code were up by 36.8% — a substantially greater annual rate — compared to sales growth for the surrounding GTA suburbs combined, which saw an increase of only 23.6%. The marked recovery in the condominium-apartment segment was a key driver of this trend.

“Tight market conditions prevailed throughout the GTA and broader Greater Golden Horseshoe in 2021, with a lack of inventory noted across all home types," said TRREB Chief Market Analyst Jason Mercer. "The result was intense competition between buyers, pushing selling prices up by double digits year-over-year. Looking forward, the only sustainable way to moderate price growth will be to bring on more supply."

"History has shown," Mercer continued, "that demand-side policies, such as additional taxation on principal residences, foreign buyers, and small-scale investors, have not been sustainable long-term solutions to housing affordability or supply constraints.”

In December, GTA Realtors reported 6,031 sales — a strong result historically, but still down by 15.7% (more than 1,000 transactions) — compared to the record of 7,154 set in December 2020. Over the same period, new listings were down by 11.9% to 5,174.

The MLS Home Price Index Composite benchmark was up by 31.1% year-over-year in December. The average selling price was up by 24.2% annually, to $1,157,849.

“On February third, TRREB will release its latest Market Outlook and Year in Review report," said TRREB CEO John DiMichele. "The report will include survey results and research that will help us navigate 2022 and beyond. The findings will highlight the latest consumer polling on home buying intentions; joint research with the Toronto Region Board of Trade on the future of employment and work; plus an outlook for home sales, listings and pricing over the next year.”

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