At the end of 2017, there were 59 cars on TTC property, excluding 4401. There were 2 cars in CP Yards Car 4459 was the last car off loaded in 2017 in order.
This means, deliveries is the key point and it based on being on TTC property, not in service or in CP yard.
There is a big different between the Last 2017 schedule for 2018 & 19 based on Quarter deliveries, not the monthly ones up to the end of 2017 to the June 2018 one based on your version.
I and others have being doing quarter delivery based on the last 2017 schedule, with 27 to be delivery by June 29. 28 has so far been delivery. 4486 was to be the 27th car for 2018, but we now have 4487. I believe 4487 happen as it was unsure what was going to happen to 4466 return date.
As it stands now, it taking 15-30 days to get a car ready to enter service compare to 10 days or about in 2016-17. Only 2 cars have enter service under 15 days this year so far.
As Andy stated to me in 2017 a number of times, he wasn't worry about unfinished cars showing up as delivery cars, since staff would be on hand to make sure BBD finish the car correctly and be on top of any issues preventing the car from been tested or enter service sooner, than later. With the longer on site to in service this year time frame, are more cars arriving unfinished and being finish here or a back log maintaining the existing new cars??
If Rich wants to go from deliveries to in service schedule for X cars, that a new ball game and not easy one to say X cars by month, quarter or year based on current time frame. 28 cars on site for 2018 Q2, but only 22 in service as I type this. Maybe 4466 will make June 30 for in service as #23 car.
Q4 could be a killer or maker for BBD, but that 5 month off at this time.
I use various routes based on my needs, but 506 has always been a bitch in the good of times and not going to get any better soon.
You are a strong supporter for BBD, but I am not. If any other company was doing this order, my view would be the same as I have for BBD today.
If I was in charge, a contract would have been awarded in 2016 for the extra 60, with the first prototype been here now or later this year and production cars starting to show up in 2019. Completion would be late 2020 or early 2021 by X company, other than BBD.
I will celebrate when the last car is on TTC property and BBD is history.