King of Kensington
Senior Member
Adam Vaughan running for the Liberals...wow! He should almost certainly take this one. Just a few days ago this looked like a slam-dunk for the NDP.
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Trinity-Spadina by-election
- Thread starter King of Kensington
- Start date
King of Kensington
Senior Member
Vaughan's ahead if he's the Liberal candidate, otherwise the NDP is in the lead
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news...dina-poll/article18116120/#dashboard/follows/
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news...dina-poll/article18116120/#dashboard/follows/
King of Kensington
Senior Member
David Crombie will be at Vaughan's launch tomorrow night.
King of Kensington
Senior Member
According to the Forum poll, Vaughan leads 52-31 if he is the candidate for the Liberals.
Otherwise Cressy takes it with about 45-46%. About 1/3 of NDP supporters are "Adam Vaughan New Democrats."
Otherwise Cressy takes it with about 45-46%. About 1/3 of NDP supporters are "Adam Vaughan New Democrats."
champben2002
New Member
The big thing is that Vaughan needs to get alot of memberships to win the Liberal nomination in a small amount of time. They need a lot of volunteers put to good use in a really small amount of time. Still, the 491 Dundas St W office was pretty active today.
King of Kensington
Senior Member
He would have had an easier time getting the NDP nomination than the Liberal nomination.
StatGeek
Active Member
He probably thinks a much better chance to Govern under the Liberal banner than he does with the NDP as not sure if NDP has what it takes to take first place nationally.
King of Kensington
Senior Member
Yup. The Liberals have always been able to pry progressives for that reason, i.e. we can win, and the NDP can't.
The nomination battle may very be more dramatic than the by-election itself. Between 1988 and 2011, the Liberal candidate was always Tony Ianno or Christine Innes. How many Ianno/Innes loyalists are there among the T-S Liberal membership, how many will nonetheless back Vaughan as the only one who can win, and how many can Vaughan sign up in a short amount of time?
The nomination battle may very be more dramatic than the by-election itself. Between 1988 and 2011, the Liberal candidate was always Tony Ianno or Christine Innes. How many Ianno/Innes loyalists are there among the T-S Liberal membership, how many will nonetheless back Vaughan as the only one who can win, and how many can Vaughan sign up in a short amount of time?
Vaughan has said he won't enter the council race if he doesn't win the nomination, but I wonder ... would he step away from politics? would he wait for the provincial election -- in which case he'd either have to challenge Marchese or run for the liberals provincially.
King of Kensington
Senior Member
Marchese and Vaughan have a very good working relationship, so I think he'd wait until 2015 federal in the new Fort York riding. The Libs also already have a candidate in place provincially in Trinity-Spadina.
Though in a way Vaughan strikes me more as a "Kathleen Wynne Liberal" than a "Justin Trudeau Liberal."
Though in a way Vaughan strikes me more as a "Kathleen Wynne Liberal" than a "Justin Trudeau Liberal."
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King of Kensington
Senior Member
Indeed, Pierre Trudeau was a member of the NDP until 1965, when he ran for the Liberals against his friend Charles Taylor.
adma
Superstar
Wonder if this thread belongs more in "Toronto Issues", since it *is* more of a Toronto-centric topic (even if it involves Ottawa)
That's what I thought too
King of Kensington
Senior Member
Can we get it moved?
champben2002
New Member
Just to let people here know, if you live in Trinity-Spadina and want Adam to be your MP, then you have to register as a Liberal at http://goo.gl/ph36qe and email the receipt to adam@adamvaughan.ca