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Second Quarter Vacancy Rates

C

canarob

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National office vacancy rate up modestly in Q2 to 8.4%: CB Richard Ellis
2006-06-19 12:25:00
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TORONTO (CP) - The national vacancy rate for office space has risen modestly to 8.4 per cent in the second quarter of this year as demand faded in Toronto while remaining rampant in Calgary and solid in Vancouver, commercial property firm CB Richard Ellis Ltd. reported Monday.

It said tenant demand flattened in Toronto and some smaller markets - but Calgary likely has the world's tightest market for high-end downtown office space.

The overall rate was up from 8.1 per cent in the first quarter, ending nine consecutive quarters of improvement, CB Richard Ellis said.

CB Richard Ellis said demand substantially exceeds supply in Calgary, which has an overall office vacancy rate of 1.5 per cent and a mere 0.2 per cent for class A downtown space, "even lower than Tokyo which traditionally has the lowest vacancy rate of any major city."

Vancouver's vacancy rate continues to decline, standing at 8.5 per cent overall and 6.5 per cent downtown.

Nationally, "we see the fractional rise in vacancy rates more as a period of adjustment than anything else and are not concerned about it at all," stated Blake Hutcheson, president of CB Richard Ellis.

"We do not view this as the beginning of any long downward trend where demand decreases substantially. On balance, and based on our research, we see the vacancy rate for offices declining in Toronto and nationally later this year and the decline continuing in the coming year."

He added that a factor suppressing demand in some markets is that many tenants have already made commitments for office space over the past two years, taking advantage of relatively low rents.

Of the 10 cities surveyed, vacancy rates declined during the second quarter in seven: Vancouver (8.5 per cent), Calgary (1.5), Edmonton (7.3), Ottawa (6.7), Toronto (9.1), Montreal (12.3) and Halifax (8.8) .

Vacancy rates rose in London, Ont. (16.5 per cent) and the Waterloo, Ont. region (9.0), while Winnipeg's rate was unchanged (7.2 per cent).

The highest rents in Canada for downtown office space were in Calgary at an average $37.38 per square foot.

Next was Vancouver at $24.58, followed by Ottawa at $24.10 and Toronto at $20.28 per square foot.


"Longer term, in 2009 and 2010 we see vacancy rates rising again as new office space comes on the market but will be at manageable levels," Hutcheson said.

He noted that Calgary has 3.8 million square feet of new office space on the boards, with another two million planned to be up by 2010.

In the meantime, "Calgary tenants and landlords will have no choice but to do the best they can in a time of an acute shortage of space, the tightest we have ever seen in Canada."

Interesting that we are starting to look like a real bargain compared to Calgary, Vancouver and even little Ottawa.
 
So much for businesses stampeding to Calgary...

Doesn't this contradict that ranking published a little while ago that showed Toronto to be second on to Calgary in Canadian office rates (on a worldwide ranking). Must be different criteria...
 
www.globeinvestor.com/ser...9/GIStory/

Welcome to Calgary; got your tent?
ELIZABETH CHURCH

Monday, June 19, 2006
Downtown Calgary is now the toughest place on the planet to find prime office space, leaping ahead of traditionally tight markets such as Tokyo and London to claim the dubious honour.

The vacancy rate in the best downtown towers hit 0.2 per cent in the second quarter, meaning that the market has basically dried up, a new study by real estate firm CB Richard Ellis says.

"There's nothing to rent," said Richard Wong, head of research for the company. Calgary has four new office buildings scheduled to open next year, which will add more than one million square feet to the city's inventory, but Mr. Wong said that space is already spoken for. As well, existing space that will be freed up when companies move into the new towers is quickly being snapped up.

"For the next five years we are going to have some problems," he said.

While the Calgary market is bursting at the seams, the national vacancy rate remained flat, edging down to 8.4 per cent, from 8.6 per cent in the first three months of the year.

Calgary is experiencing an office building boom as developers scramble to meet demand. In addition to the four towers expected to be completed next year, one other now under development is slated to open in 2008. There also is more than 2.5 million square feet of office space under construction in the city's suburbs.

There are 12 other projects on the drawing board for the downtown representing about 8.8 million square feet. That includes the huge two-million-square-foot new headquarters for EnCana Corp., which is set to come to the market in 2010.

By 2011, Mr. Wong estimates about 5.5 million square feet of the proposed office space will be built, taking the city's vacancy rate to between 8 per cent and 10 per cent, a situation he describes as a more normal market.

Calgary Economic Development forecasts that 12.3 million square feet of new office space will potentially be available in all parts of the city by 2010.

Tris Mallett, managing partner at the Calgary office of Osler, counts himself lucky that his law firm moved to better, bigger quarters last October. It signed a lease more than a year before that, just as large blocks of available space were becoming a thing of the past.

Even so, the firm has already had to take additional space seven floors away from its main offices in the TransCanada Tower to accommodate its expanding staff. "You find what you can. You can't let it constrain your growth," said Mr. Mallett, who now works an elevator ride away from many of his colleagues.

Outside Calgary, Vancouver was the other major market to see a substantial drop in vacancies in the second quarter, the report found, with the rate for prime buildings in the downtown reaching 4.9 per cent, down from 5.8 per cent.

The Toronto market, which accounts for about half of all office space in the country, saw total vacancy rates remain steady at 9.1 per cent, compared with 9.2 per cent in the previous quarter. Vacancy rates for the best downtown buildings also barely budged, and were 7.2 per cent, down from 7.3 per cent.

New office development in downtown Toronto is taking place for the first time in more than a decade. One project has begun and Brookfield Properties Corp. is expected to make an announcement any day on revised plans for its long-dormant Bay-Adelaide Centre. A third building near the Air Canada Centre also is expected.

The highest rents for downtown space also were found in Calgary, with average annual rates of $37.38 per square foot., followed by Vancouver with $24.58 and Ottawa with $24.10. Average rents in downtown Toronto fell to $20.28 from $20.41.
 
HBC to possibly leave as lead tenant of Simpson Tower.

Zucker wants to operate under a campus style HQ. HBC will be moving several of its operations to its Mississauga offices over the next year.

Not sure who owns the building, but Zucker doesn't see the need for occupying an expensive downtown address.

Building Class: B
Building Size: 319,775 sq. ft.
Typical Floor Size: 12,000 sq. ft.
 
Zucker wants to operate under a campus style HQ. HBC will be moving several of its operations to its Mississauga offices over the next year.
Unfortunate.

Couldn't the Hudson's Bay Centre cut HBC a deal on some of their empty floors? :\
 

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