News   Apr 25, 2024
 231     0 
News   Apr 24, 2024
 1.1K     1 
News   Apr 24, 2024
 1.6K     1 

Population of Toronto (Including Census Counts)

I'm betting Milton will see a big uptick in population. (A good candidate for a subway, subway, subway based on Scarborough's desires.)
I think it will have slowed down a little compared to last census. Definitely in terms of % growth, maybe even net growth. But it will still be one of the fastest growing communities. Stouffville, Bradford and New Tecumseth will probably be its main competitors for highest % growth in the CMA, although King City, Caledon have started booming too compared to previously low growth rates. East Gwilimbury will likely be #1 for % growth for 2016-2021 but looks like the big developments there just got started last year so we shouldn't see much for 2011-2016.

Highest net growth should still be Toronto and Brampton, followed by Markham, Ajax, Vaughan, Oakville and Milton.
 
I think it will have slowed down a little compared to last census. Definitely in terms of % growth, maybe even net growth. But it will still be one of the fastest growing communities. Stouffville, Bradford and New Tecumseth will probably be its main competitors for highest % growth in the CMA, although King City, Caledon have started booming too compared to previously low growth rates. East Gwilimbury will likely be #1 for % growth for 2016-2021 but looks like the big developments there just got started last year so we shouldn't see much for 2011-2016.

Highest net growth should still be Toronto and Brampton, followed by Markham, Ajax, Vaughan, Oakville and Milton.

Depends upon if one is using population number increase or percentage increase.
 
From the Star:

https://www.thestar.com/news/canada...ion-gains-in-toronto-milton-and-brampton.html

And Statscan:

http://www.statcan.gc.ca/daily-quotidien/170208/dq170208a-eng.htm?HPA=1

For Toronto CMA:

upload_2017-2-8_10-4-32.png


http://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-r...rs/map-4/2016-92173-001-535-013-01-01-eng.pdf

AoD
 

Attachments

  • upload_2017-2-8_10-4-32.png
    upload_2017-2-8_10-4-32.png
    256.8 KB · Views: 1,353
Last edited:
Highest net growth in the CMA for a CT is 576.71
4624-->23401
That's Springbrook area of Brampton

Highest % growth is 615.00 in North Oakville
353 ---> 6430

In Toronto
Highest % growth is 8.01 - Liberty Village
2729 --> 7503

Net growth seems to be the entertainment district (11.00)
8645 --> 17549
 
How different parts of Toronto grew

Scarborough: 0.99% (+6,186)
625,698 --> 631,884

Etobicoke: 4.94% (+17,195)
347,948 --> 365,143

Northern Toronto (North York north of 401): 4.75% (+20,005)
421,228 --> 441,233

Central Toronto (south of 401, b/w Vic Park & Humber R): 5.99% (+73,125)
1,220,186 --> 1,293,311

Greater Downtown (University-Rosedale, Spadina-Fort York and Toronto Centre): 17.66% (+48,566)
275,056 --> 323,622
 
Fastest and slowest growing electoral districts in Toronto

Spadina Fort York: +33,026 (+40.04%)
Etobicoke Lakeshore: +13,644 (+11.82%)
Toronto Centre: +9,834 (+10.46%)
Willowdale: +9,121 (+8.32%)
Don Valley North: +7,003 (+6.79%)
Davenport: +6,113 (+5.97%)
University-Rosedale: +5,706 (+5.79%)
York Centre: +4,042 (+4.03%)
Toronto-St Paul: +3,917 (+3.77%)
Scarborough Centre: +3,777 (+3.47%)
Parkdale-High Park: +3,702 (+3.52%)
Scarborough Southwest: +3,545 (+3.32%)
Etobicoke Centre: +3,112 (+2.71%)
Toronto-Danforth: +2,858 (+2.75%)
Don Valley West: +2,688 (+2.69%)
Beaches-East York: +2,384 (+2.23%)
Don Valley East: +1,572 (+1.69%)
Eglinton-Lawrence: +1,245 (+1.10%)
Scarborough Agincourt: +1,043 (+1.00%)
Scarborough Guildwood: +472 (+0.46%)
Etobicoke North: +439 (+0.37%)
York South-Weston: +80 (+0.07%)
Humber River-Black Creek: -161 (-0.15%)
Scarborough Rouge Park: -371 (-0.36%)
Scarborough North: -2,280 (-2.26%)
 
It looks like the GTA's growth has slowed considerably since the previous census. Wonder if this is a temporary aberration or a sign of things to come.
 
It looks like the GTA's growth has slowed considerably since the previous census. Wonder if this is a temporary aberration or a sign of things to come.

I expected something to the tune of 5-6%. While it does feel like we are growing a lot you have to remember that the other cities in Canada that are growing much faster than we are include the ones in the West (namely: Calgary, Edmonton and Saskatoon). Even today if you look at the maps of these cities you'll see that they really aren't that big and that they still have room to grow. Compare that to Toronto that has built-up area going well beyond the 416, making our metro area a very mature one compared to theirs. It's only natural that percentage-wise, we end up growing slower than they are. Really though, I would also say what we're experiencing is more of a stable growth rather than one saying we're going to stagnate; in the worst case scenario I think we're going to plateau from here.

For us to have a growth rate double than what we have now we need to do some big time densification. Unfortunately we don't have the supporting infrastructure for that. We don't even have concrete plans for the downtown relief line, all we're getting is the Finch West LRT, Line 1 extension and Scarborough subway which are all a step in the wrong direction because they're encouraging suburbanization more than anything. Torontonians think they live in a world class city without wanting to let go of the draconian auto-centric built environment they are in
 
This probably says more about me than anything about meaningful data but I find how Statscan presents the info. as growth rate is kind of annoying. I find myself going to the tables with my calculator to get the numbers I really want, the actual change in population from 2011 to 2016. The Toronto CMA grew by 344,976 people by the way.
 
I expected something to the tune of 5-6%. While it does feel like we are growing a lot you have to remember that the other cities in Canada that are growing much faster than we are include the ones in the West (namely: Calgary, Edmonton and Saskatoon). Even today if you look at the maps of these cities you'll see that they really aren't that big and that they still have room to grow. Compare that to Toronto that has built-up area going well beyond the 416, making our metro area a very mature one compared to theirs. It's only natural that percentage-wise, we end up growing slower than they are. Really though, I would also say what we're experiencing is more of a stable growth rather than one saying we're going to stagnate; in the worst case scenario I think we're going to plateau from here.

For us to have a growth rate double than what we have now we need to do some big time densification. Unfortunately we don't have the supporting infrastructure for that. We don't even have concrete plans for the downtown relief line, all we're getting is the Finch West LRT, Line 1 extension and Scarborough subway which are all a step in the wrong direction because they're encouraging suburbanization more than anything. Torontonians think they live in a world class city without wanting to let go of the draconian auto-centric built environment they are in
I think Finch West LRT is fine since it's responding to existing demand for transit. Some of the areas served are fairly dense, and Jane-Finch has car ownership rates significantly lower than in North Toronto and comparable to ca 1900 streetcar suburbs like the Bloor West Village, Danforth and St Clair W in terms of car ownership and car mode share.

Either you increase transit use by bringing transit to where the people area, or by bringing people to where the transit is. Those streetcar suburbs have much better transit connections to Toronto than the Finch W corridor, but they're still not especially dense and options for intensification are somewhat limited.

I still think a Scarborough Subway wouldn't have been completely unreasonable (though not the highest priority) if they had taken an approach to reduce costs, like building along the existing SRT right of way (and without tunnelling or minimal tunnelling) and built more stations (say 3-4 instead of 1 new one).

As for the subway to Vaughan, eh... yeah idk. But at least York Region is paying for their section which is the least viable section IMO.
 
Someone posted this on reddit, seems like a great way to visualize the data:

https://tdubolyou.github.io/PopChange2016/

Just going through it, the Fashion District doubled in population from 8,645 to 17,549. Not surprising but wow, never actually thought about it in that way.

Humber Bay unsurprisingly also more than doubled. 5,236 --> 11,390

Liberty Village nearly tripled. 2,729 --> 7,503

City Place went 5,911 --> 11,658
 
Does anyone know where I can find the growth of the Toronto CMA broken down by year? I want to see if there was a spike in Toronto's growth in 2016, in response to the oil situation in Alberta.

Alberta had previously seen a spike in immigration, thanks to the booming (at the time) oil business, and I expect that would have been reversed in 2016.
 
Last edited:

Back
Top