Kitsune
Senior Member
Something like this could put a 15+ foot surge into Halifax if it scored a direct hit....
|
|
|
Hurricane Bill
- Thread starter Kitsune
- Start date
Something like this could put a 15+ foot surge into Halifax if it scored a direct hit....
dt_toronto_geek
Superstar
If the projection turns out to be accurate, wouldn't the hurricane be significantly downgraded with the cool water as it moves north?
jn_12
Senior Member
It'd be a category 1 when it makes landfall in Halifax
Kitsune
Senior Member
However it still can keep its surge - see Ike from 2008 when it hit Texas. A Cat 2 with a Cat 4 Surge.
lordmandeep
Banned
Its actually quite concerning that a Hurricane with a wind field stretching out 230 miles is going to hit an area that was devastated by a much smaller Hurricane Juan.
National Hurricane Centre project Bill to be at 85 mph at 8pm Sunday right over Halifax. However as it moves north the storm will greatly expand and likely be effecting a huge area.
Such Hurricanes of such size can cause huge damage even if they are weak like IKE.
Considering it will hit at around 80-90 mph winds and add in the fact its far larger then Hurricane Juan, this is not going to be pretty.
If it scores a direct hit on Nova Scotia, the whole East is going to get hit hard.
I think once it seems to be certain to hit Canada, I will imagine craziness will start in the East.
Cat 1 Hurricane will cause decent wind damage. The surge however is the worry.
National Hurricane Centre project Bill to be at 85 mph at 8pm Sunday right over Halifax. However as it moves north the storm will greatly expand and likely be effecting a huge area.
Such Hurricanes of such size can cause huge damage even if they are weak like IKE.
Considering it will hit at around 80-90 mph winds and add in the fact its far larger then Hurricane Juan, this is not going to be pretty.
If it scores a direct hit on Nova Scotia, the whole East is going to get hit hard.
I think once it seems to be certain to hit Canada, I will imagine craziness will start in the East.
Cat 1 Hurricane will cause decent wind damage. The surge however is the worry.
khris
Senior Member
I have a feeling it will hit as a category 2. Juan was a category 2 when it hit NS. It's going to be interesting to watch, for sure. I remember living in NS, on the south shore. The storm surge is insane to see in real life. To see the ocean where it never used to be.
dt_toronto_geek
Superstar
Dangerous Hurricane Bill could threaten east Canada
Wed Aug 19, 2009 5:45pm EDT
By Jim Loney
MIAMI (Reuters) - Powerful Hurricane Bill, a dangerous Category 4 storm with 135 mph winds, raged across the open Atlantic on Wednesday, days from land but on a path that could menace Canada's eastern provinces next week.
Sweeping past the Caribbean islands and posing no threat to U.S. oil and gas installations in the Gulf of Mexico, the first hurricane of the 2009 Atlantic season was expected to charge between the U.S. East Coast and Bermuda, well offshore.
Residents of Bermuda, a mid-Atlantic British territory and reinsurance capital, were warned to prepare for the storm. The latest forecast track issued by the U.S. National Hurricane Center would take Bill more than 100 miles to the west.
But Bill's massive size -- tropical storm force winds of 39 to 73 mph extend up to 230 miles from its center -- meant Bermuda would get a good dose of heavy weather, forecasters said.
"All (computer) models keep the storm between the United States and Bermuda. Exactly how close it comes to either of those is up for debate," said National Hurricane Center forecaster Eric Blake. "The average error (in the forecast track) is 200 miles at about 3 days."
"Bermuda is expected to see large swells and areas of heavy rain and high winds. Hopefully the core of the hurricane will stay offshore," he said.
The Bermuda Sun newspaper reported that U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her husband, former President Bill Clinton, planned to fly to Bermuda on Wednesday for a private vacation of three to four days at a beach resort. The State Department declined to officially confirm where Clinton was.
HEAVY SURF EXPECTED ON U.S. EAST COAST
Forecasters said Bill might get stronger. Its top winds were expected to peak at about 145 mph on Thursday.
Hurricanes of Category 3 or higher on the five-step Saffir-Simpson intensity scale are considered "major" storms and are the most destructive type.
The well-defined eye of Bill was located about 970 miles south-southeast of Bermuda at 5 p.m. EDT (2100 GMT) on Wednesday and the system was moving toward the northwest at 20 mph, the hurricane center said.
Its curving forecast track would take it to a position hundreds of miles (km) east of Miami by early Friday, and well off New York by Sunday.
"How close it gets to the New England coast, there's still the usual uncertainty in that long time period," former NHC director Max Mayfield said. "But the core of the hurricane, most of the models indicate it's going to remain off the coast."
Forecasters said dangerous swells and life-threatening rip currents could affect the northern Caribbean islands, the Bahamas, Bermuda and the U.S. East Coast in the next few days.
The latest forecast track from the hurricane center would take Bill slightly closer to the U.S. East. It shows the storm just south of Nova Scotia by Sunday afternoon as a Category 2 hurricane and moving directly over Newfoundland after that. But five days in advance, the forecast has an average error of several hundred miles.
Source
Wed Aug 19, 2009 5:45pm EDT
By Jim Loney
MIAMI (Reuters) - Powerful Hurricane Bill, a dangerous Category 4 storm with 135 mph winds, raged across the open Atlantic on Wednesday, days from land but on a path that could menace Canada's eastern provinces next week.
Sweeping past the Caribbean islands and posing no threat to U.S. oil and gas installations in the Gulf of Mexico, the first hurricane of the 2009 Atlantic season was expected to charge between the U.S. East Coast and Bermuda, well offshore.
Residents of Bermuda, a mid-Atlantic British territory and reinsurance capital, were warned to prepare for the storm. The latest forecast track issued by the U.S. National Hurricane Center would take Bill more than 100 miles to the west.
But Bill's massive size -- tropical storm force winds of 39 to 73 mph extend up to 230 miles from its center -- meant Bermuda would get a good dose of heavy weather, forecasters said.
"All (computer) models keep the storm between the United States and Bermuda. Exactly how close it comes to either of those is up for debate," said National Hurricane Center forecaster Eric Blake. "The average error (in the forecast track) is 200 miles at about 3 days."
"Bermuda is expected to see large swells and areas of heavy rain and high winds. Hopefully the core of the hurricane will stay offshore," he said.
The Bermuda Sun newspaper reported that U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her husband, former President Bill Clinton, planned to fly to Bermuda on Wednesday for a private vacation of three to four days at a beach resort. The State Department declined to officially confirm where Clinton was.
HEAVY SURF EXPECTED ON U.S. EAST COAST
Forecasters said Bill might get stronger. Its top winds were expected to peak at about 145 mph on Thursday.
Hurricanes of Category 3 or higher on the five-step Saffir-Simpson intensity scale are considered "major" storms and are the most destructive type.
The well-defined eye of Bill was located about 970 miles south-southeast of Bermuda at 5 p.m. EDT (2100 GMT) on Wednesday and the system was moving toward the northwest at 20 mph, the hurricane center said.
Its curving forecast track would take it to a position hundreds of miles (km) east of Miami by early Friday, and well off New York by Sunday.
"How close it gets to the New England coast, there's still the usual uncertainty in that long time period," former NHC director Max Mayfield said. "But the core of the hurricane, most of the models indicate it's going to remain off the coast."
Forecasters said dangerous swells and life-threatening rip currents could affect the northern Caribbean islands, the Bahamas, Bermuda and the U.S. East Coast in the next few days.
The latest forecast track from the hurricane center would take Bill slightly closer to the U.S. East. It shows the storm just south of Nova Scotia by Sunday afternoon as a Category 2 hurricane and moving directly over Newfoundland after that. But five days in advance, the forecast has an average error of several hundred miles.
Source
lordmandeep
Banned
Hurricane Bill Wind Field is getting huge...
Hurricane Force Winds extend out 105 miles and Tropical Force out 230 miles.
That is comparable to monster storms like Ivan, Ike, Rita and Katrina.
So the problem will be that the storm will not really intense but it will effect a huge area of the East.
Hurricane Force Winds extend out 105 miles and Tropical Force out 230 miles.
That is comparable to monster storms like Ivan, Ike, Rita and Katrina.
So the problem will be that the storm will not really intense but it will effect a huge area of the East.