News   Apr 24, 2024
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  1. C

    Metrolinx: Bombardier Flexity Freedom & Alstom Citadis Spirit LRVs

    No. The HTA applies to all vehicles, not just motor vehicles. A similar example would be bicycles.
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    Toronto Ontario Line 3 | ?m | ?s

    Use Outline.com for The Star articles: outline.com/www.thestar.com/rest-of-the-URL-goes-here
  3. C

    Baby, we got a bubble!?

    TrickyRicky, that investment would be income positive but cash flow negative. A cash flow positive investment should generate excess cash every month (on average), not require additional investment every month.
  4. C

    Baby, we got a bubble!?

    No they won't. The mill rate will automatically go down in response to higher MPAC assessments, unless city council specifically raises property taxes.
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    Baby, we got a bubble!?

    Wages DO track inflation over the long term (within reasonable error, once accounting for productivity gains). https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2015/november/relationship-between-wage-growth-inflation shows 50 years of (admittedly, US) data that illustrate this well. I did mention in...
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    Baby, we got a bubble!?

    Wages generally track inflation (approximately). Housing is a necessary good. Given a long enough time horizon (multiple decades), even a small imbalance between the two would significantly erode affordability. For example, a 3% higher rate of increase in housing costs vs wages would lead to a...
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    Baby, we got a bubble!?

    Unlikely. CPI rose 2.16% annualized over that time frame. So a real increase of 3.3% annually over 28 years. Likely a bit overvalued (should track inflation over the very long term, although short term departures could persist for years), but also need to consider other trends, like rising home...
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    Baby, we got a bubble!?

    Less than 5.5% annualized growth over the past 28 years, to put today's prices in perspective.
  9. C

    Baby, we got a bubble!?

    How many criminals are really buying houses in Toronto? Given current valuations and volume, I find it very difficult to believe that laundered money is a significant portion of the market and therefore driving up prices. Unless there are a LOT more criminals out there than I naively believe...
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    Baby, we got a bubble!?

    Beta/volatility is only part of risk (equity risk). Real estate has a lot more liquidity risk. Also transaction costs are significantly higher. You need appreciation of ~7% in real estate to cover transaction costs (realtor, lawyer, land transfer tax) before you even make a profit.
  11. C

    Baby, we got a bubble!?

    But you can't just ignore opportunity cost/carrying costs/inflation (even if you acknowledge that you're ignoring them) because leaving them out skews the comparison. Significantly. Mortgage payment alone will almost always be less than rent, but mortgage payment+property...
  12. C

    Baby, we got a bubble!?

    No reason you can't leverage stock investments as well...

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