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Alto - High Speed Rail (Toronto-Quebec City)

Forgot to reply to this earlier.

Not sure this was the point I was making. Competent management is key for an SOE to compete against private companies. Canada Post cannot and should not be a black hole for taxpayer dollars. It turned a profit from riding the e-commerce wave before, it can turn a profit again.

HSR will probably never pay off its capital costs, but operating profit is possible. Financial profit/loss aside, the net economic return to society should be positive.
Should the goal even be profitability? Or should the goal be a real option for citizens to get to where they are going as fast as reasonable? Remember, the 401 does not make a profit.
 
Should the goal even be profitability? Or should the goal be a real option for citizens to get to where they are going as fast as reasonable? Remember, the 401 does not make a profit.
I didn't say HSR profitability should be an overriding goal, just that it's possible. Obviously something like our healthcare system should not be aiming for financial profitability from the perspective of the government.

In fact, emphasizing profitability could make tickets more expensive. I've made posts expressing my distaste for the current revenue management (pricing system) for Via. Japanese and Chinese HSR tickets are distance based, they don't go up in price in response to demand or closer to the departure date. And yet they can achieve operating profits on some lines.
 
I didn't say HSR profitability should be an overriding goal, just that it's possible. Obviously something like our healthcare system should not be aiming for financial profitability from the perspective of the government.

In fact, emphasizing profitability could make tickets more expensive. I've made posts expressing my distaste for the current revenue management (pricing system) for Via. Japanese and Chinese HSR tickets are distance based, they don't go up in price in response to demand or closer to the departure date. And yet they can achieve operating profits on some lines.
Pricing will always be a challenge especially from those that are upset that they are "paying for it" in taxes and such.
 
I wouldn't go that far... however, if the goal was to break Canada from the car being king, removing all fares on all public transit would do that.

Pricing for ALTO should be slightly higher than Via and slightly lower than a flight.
VIA's fares are too high for the service it provides currently IMO, if anything Alto should be where VIA is, and VIA needs to slash prices.
 
VIA's fares are too high for the service it provides currently IMO, if anything Alto should be where VIA is, and VIA needs to slash prices.
This is not whether Via's fares are too high or not. This is more of what it should look like when it opens. Besides, what do you care, you just stated it is faster to fly.
 
It's often repeated by some people here, but it's not so clear cut as free transit--->more ridership--->break free from cars.


If today the TTC became free, it would create more problems than it would solve. Lets start that every transit vehicle that is not a crush load would be at crush load. We have systems built around fares. We would need a massive investment before fares became zero. I am not advocating for or against it, just showing how it could solve some issues. For instance, ALTO could solve the major traffic jams on the 401 East of Toronto. It would not get rid of them, but it would reduce them.
 
My family of 4 used to opt for the slow train on such trips. Not everyone will make the same choices you would.
It's all going to circumstances. If it's just me, and my destination is in the Métropole, I'll invariably take the train (or fly sometimes). If I've got 4 people, the pricing will push me to drive.

But if my destination is in the Laurentians, the last-mile issues push me to driving.
 
Because this is about getting people out of cars, not planes.
You are wrong.
I don’t think comparing Spain and Canada is fair here. The culture in Spain is quite a bit different. Punctuality there takes a backseat to almost everything, especially work-life balance, and I could see people taking the train over a plane simply to get more rest and comfort over any feeling of obligation to work.

Whereas here we seem to want to pattern ourselves after the worst of the culture south of the border. The idea that the trip itself is shorter in time by plane triggers work obsessed brains to give them false agency in believing they’ll be able to get through security faster or beat the traffic, etc. When they’re a passenger, they’re trapped with zero control, but they can control their car, or what line they pick at the airport. We always believe that we have more control than we actually do.
Falsely equating American attitudes with Canadian ones on transit, to the point of assuming business people don't take GO trains or transit is ok, but equating a Spanish HSR corridor with Canadian Alto is not ok?

To both of you and your points:

Madrid and Barcelona have very similar car ownership rates to Toronto.

June 2009, Mr. Toby Lennox (Vice-President, Corporate Affairs and Communications, Greater Toronto Airports Authority): "With competition from high-speed rail service, we would expect the demand for these short-haul domestic flights to soften." https://www.ourcommons.ca/DocumentViewer/en/40-2/TRAN/meeting-23/evidence

Feb 2024, Dr. Yonah Freemark (Lead, Practice Area on Fair Housing, Land Use and Transportation, Urban Institute, As an Individual): “High-speed rail service would make most air travel from Toronto and Montreal to Ottawa superfluous.”
https://www.ourcommons.ca/DocumentViewer/en/44-1/TRAN/meeting-99/evidence#Int-12567043

UIC gives a rough rule-of-thumb: at a 3 hour HSR travel time, the total road-rail-air market would split around 40% car, 45% train, 15% plane.

A review of HSR-airline competition found air travel fell by about 45% after the opening of the Wuhan-Guangzhou HSR and 34% after Beijing-Shanghai HSR; other studies found HSR roughly reduced air travel demand by 27% to 50%, with the strongest effects on short and medium haul routes.

Anecdotally, flying coach in China is ostensibly faster and potentially cheaper, economy class also gets meals during even very short haul flights unlike Canada, so why would people choose HSR? (Many reasons)

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Pricing for ALTO should be slightly higher than Via and slightly lower than a flight.
I'll be interesting to see the approach. HSR can take atvandage of demand elasticity when setting prices. They can undercut their competition and run more frequency. I couldn't pretend to articulate the demand elasticity formula, but there is an induced demand effect from both the price and frequency perspectives. At least in europe, which was the study I read.
UIC gives a rough rule-of-thumb: at a 3 hour HSR travel time, the total road-rail-air market would split around 40% car, 45% train, 15% plane.
This is interesting. The study I was reading only showed the split between Rail and Air. It places sub 600km trips at 75% or better in that context. I think Paris-Lyon was 95%. Cool to see numbers with Auto included.
 
Ask yourself this question, would a family of 4, on a weekend trip to Montreal from Toronto, take a the (fast) train or enjoy the flexibility of their car?
Nice attempt at moving the goalposts, but my post was about high speed trains taking modal share from flights, not cars. Families of four taking a car didn't change my post at all.

In any case, your question applies just as much to highly successful HSR systems in Italy and Japan and France. Of course some families drive, and some don't. There are already lots of families with kids on Via Rail. And there will be many more on Alto.
 

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