Toronto The Millwood | 186.3m | 54s | Times Group | Core Architects

Oh right, this is rental...that's how this is even starting. Well then, this'll be something to watch over the next few years. I'm not expecting anything pretty, but, this'll be a huge set of towers for the area.
As a local, I am just looking forward to that awful parking lot being converted to something more useful.
 
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No, it's just more vacancy. Anything they can't rent quickly sits empty and destroys the project's value proposition. This doesn't work like a pre-con condo sale 3 years ago where no number of units was sufficient.

I'm not that far from Bela Square and I can tell you, based on night time illumination that lease up is not going well. I don't think they've reached 25%. I'm fascinated by the ferocity of the resistance to cutting the asking rents. I get the desire not to firesale, but for buildings that are not subject to rent control, there is room to forward adjust. No one will want to lose a good tenant by jacking 25% in one year, but if the market gets hot, you can start bumping ahead of inflation by 5 or 10%.

Getting 80% of your desired rent has to be better for the books that carrying an 80% vacancy with no rental income on said units. Seems to be a common issue though, holding back supply rather than cutting into rental rates.

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Bringing that back to this site.........surely the existing numbers are predicated on higher rents than they are likely to achieve, at least in the first 2-3 years after completion (assuming they break ground this year). I do wonder what the bean counters are thinking and who is financing this?
 
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I'm not that far from Bela Square and I can tell you, based on night time illumination that lease up is not going well. I don't think they've reached 25%. I'm fascinated by the ferocity of the resistance to cutting the asking rents. I get the desire not to firesale, but for buildings that are not subject to rent control, there is room to forward adjust. No one will want to lose a good tenant by jacking 25% in one year, but if the market gets hot, you can start bumping ahead of inflation by 5 or 10%.

Getting 80% of your desired rent has to be better for the books that carrying an 80% vacancy with no rental income on said units. Seems to be a common issue though, holding back supply rather than cutting into rental rates.

***

Bringing that back to this site.........surely the existing numbers are predicated on higher rents that they are likely to achieve, at least in the first 2-3 years after completion (assuming they break ground this year). I do wonder what the bean counters are thinking and who is financing this?
That's an interesting and to be frank, unsurprising insight on Bela Sq. I don't think Bela is a useful comp to the Yonge-Davisville area which has greater elasticity in terms of pricing and broader demand.

Brand new rental buildings are having a tough time in AAA locations today, let alone B and C areas. I'd be curious to see how DBS will fare at their Don Mills site - it could go the way of Bela Sq or Sloane (which I am getting mixed reviews on). I also understand lease up isn't as robust at Lonsdale as anticipated
 
That's an interesting and to be frank, unsurprising insight on Bela Sq. I don't think Bela is a useful comp to the Yonge-Davisville area which has greater elasticity in terms of pricing and broader demand.

Brand new rental buildings are having a tough time in AAA locations today, let alone B and C areas. I'd be curious to see how DBS will fare at their Don Mills site - it could go the way of Bela Sq or Sloane (which I am getting mixed reviews on). I also understand lease up isn't as robust at Lonsdale as anticipated
If you're talking about Metro Park, the tall one you see today is a condo. The rental is the much smaller midrise that's just getting going now. 2Fifteen is at the absolute top end of the market (surpassed only by The James now) so I understand that lease up has been slow. It's funny that they were renting at about $5.75 there two years ago (but again, that was the top end of everything) so everyone adjusted their day ones to like $6 with 3% growth and now they're all going to eat shit...
 

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