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PM Justin Trudeau's Canada

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/25/...6&nl=morning-briefing&nlid=75115812&te=1&_r=0

A balanced article on our experience with Trudeau's mass settlement of undocumented migrants from the Mideast. It doesn't give one much confidence that many of these people will be anything other than a long-term burden on all of us. Of course, paying their bills will fall to the City and the Province, not the federal government, so that's alright then.
 
Fixed that for you.

The slightly disconcerting thing is that Trudeau, with John McCallum at the Chinese ambassadorship, is exploring the notion of a free trade agreement with China:
https://www.thestar.com/news/canada...med-to-parliament-hill-by-justin-trudeau.html

The Chinese usually have a habit of importing their own citizens rather than relying on the local populace (as part of an integrated workforce that allows for efficiency and lower costs)- this has occurred where they invest, the most prominent instance being Africa. Heck, there was an instance a few years ago where they were going to run a coal mine in BC using their own citizens:
http://www.mining.com/proposed-b-c-...-on-foreign-workers-cost-almost-double-35004/

Furthermore, the Chinese are not adverse to using economic sanctions on even supposedly friendly countries like South Korea (see the whole missile debacle).

These remarks from the Chinese ambassador are fairly troubling signals that indicate the side any free trade deal is going to favor.
 
Highly doubtful that there will be any free trade agreement with China when the demand is to drop protection of strategic Canadian industries.

AoD
 
Like one company equals wholesale abandonment of foreign ownership rules? If there is one file to be more concerned about it is MDA moving out of Canada.

AoD
 
Some good news- but we'll need to also employ some "strategic patience" in seeing these talks in April pan out.

Human-rights issue to stall progress with China, Ottawa says

China should not expect rapid progress on a comprehensive extradition treaty with Canada, or on a free-trade agreement, the Liberal government indicated Sunday.

Instead, Ottawa will employ a policy of strategic patience, while carefully watching how Beijing deals with the new administration in Washington, a senior government official said on background. Representatives of the two countries meet next month to explore the possibility of launching formal free-trade negotiations.

“Promoting and protecting human rights is an integral part of Canada’s foreign policy and re- mains an unwavering priority for the government,” Alex Lawrence, a spokesperson for Foreign Affairs Minister Chrystia Freeland said Sunday by e-mail. “Canada engages regularly with its Chinese counterparts on a number of issues, including those related to human rights.”

The statement came in reaction to a Globe and Mail story that revealed the Chinese government employs torture to extract confessions from people arrested on corruption charges, or to punish those who campaign for human rights. As long as China continues such practices, the official said, hopes for a comprehensive extradition treaty with Canada have little chance of success.

» In free-trade talks, the Liberals are signalling that they are unlikely to accede to a key Chinese demand.

The new Chinese ambassador to Canada, Lu Shaye, told The Globe and Mail that Beijing was seeking unfettered access by Chinese businesses, including stateowned enterprises, to all sectors of the Canadian economy. Stephen Harper’s Conservative government, while approving one acquisition by the state-owned CNOOC of the Canadian energy firm Nexen, otherwise prohibited Chinese acquisition of Canadian firms operating in Canada’s oil sands.

The Liberal government has not indicated that it would allow Chinese firms access to proprietary technology and other assets that could compromise national security.

Both Ottawa and Beijing may be offering these public positions as bargaining ploys as they prepare for the April talks.

Most trade observers agree that a free-trade agreement with the world’s second-largest economy would be in Canada’s interest.

“It’s a complicated relationship, but we can’t afford to ignore this challenge, we can’t sit on the sidelines,” said Roland Paris, who teaches at the Graduate School of Public and International Affairs at University of Ottawa. Prof. Paris was also Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s foreign policy adviser for a time.

China’s economy is growing at three times Canada’s rate, and its expanding middle class offers major opportunities for Canadian businesses.

Canadian farmers see opportunities to greatly increase exports of everything from grains to beef; the natural-resource sector would benefit; enterprising manufacturers would welcome a shot at tariff-free access to a market of 1.3 billion people, while financial services would also like to expand their footprint.

But there are limits to how far Canada can co-operate with China because of the country’s authoritarian government, low regard for human rights and tendency to blur the line between private enterprise and state ownership.

It took 10 years for Australia and China to negotiate a trade agreement. The Liberals expect that Canada-China talks will also take a number of years to conclude, and are likely to stretch on well past the next election. One proposed approach that has been put forward by Kevin Lynch, former clerk of the Privy Council, and others would see the two countries conclude sectoral agreements as a lead up to a full FTA.

China faces an uncertain relationship with the White House under President Donald Trump, who accuses the country of currency manipulation and other tactics that encourage Chinese exports into the United States while limiting American exports to China, and who is threatening to impose a tariff wall in retaliation. Chinese President Xi Jinping visits Mr. Trump at his Mar-aLago estate in Florida next month.

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news...gress-with-china-ottawa-says/article34431886/


On an additional note:

Liberals to announce marijuana will be legal by July 1, 2018

But of course:
Provinces to control sales
The federal government will be in charge of making sure the country's marijuana supply is safe and secure and Ottawa will license producers.

But the provinces will have the right to decide how the marijuana is distributed and sold. Provincial governments will also have the right to set price.

While Ottawa will set a minimum age of 18 to buy marijuana, the provinces will have the option of setting a higher age limit if they wish.

4 plants per household
As for Canadians who want to grow their own marijuana, they will be limited to four plants per household.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/liberal-legal-marijuana-pot-1.4041902
 
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Basically, the transit pass tax credit primarily benefited those making $90,000+ a year, one had to be in top tax bracket to get the full benefit, and it was an egregiously expensive way to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

Canada's doomed transit tax credit never did much good
David Reevely, Ottawa Citizen, 23 March 2017

Except that I'm by no means in the top earning bracket, yet I financially benefited from the tax credit. Of what incentive is it to most people to spend $144 per month on a monthly pass, or $200 per month paygo for Presto if there isn't the promise of a tax break at the end when you file taxes? What Trudeau/Morneau have effectively done is indiscriminately targeted the youth and low-income earners, whom pay the most taxes as a percentage of their income and thus needed a break the most. And of course they're phasing out tickets/tokens at the same time forcing even more people to avoid transit altogether. Thanks Liberal brain-trust, you so smart.
 
Except that I'm by no means in the top earning bracket, yet I financially benefited from the tax credit. Of what incentive is it to most people to spend $144 per month on a monthly pass, or $200 per month paygo for Presto if there isn't the promise of a tax break at the end when you file taxes? What Trudeau/Morneau have effectively done is indiscriminately targeted the youth and low-income earners, whom pay the most taxes as a percentage of their income and thus needed a break the most. And of course they're phasing out tickets/tokens at the same time forcing even more people to avoid transit altogether. Thanks Liberal brain-trust, you so smart.

People were buying transit passes long before this relatively recent tax credit. Clearly the incentive exists independently of the credit.

The facts are clear. The youth and low-income earners of whom you speak were not the ones primarily benefiting from the credit - the funds were mostly going to higher-income, middle class commuters who were buying passes anyway. In fact, most youth and low-income earners were seeing no benefit at all.

The federal government is not phasing out tickets and tokens, and has nothing to do with that.

I get that you benefited from the credit and wish that it continued. But from a public policy perspective, it accomplished very little to improve transit in this country. The money can be much better spent for much greater benefit.
 
The issue in this case isn't the elimination of transit tax credit - but the lack of a commensurate program to provide benefit to those who needed it; nor is it clear whether taxes regained are fully put back into transit.

AoD
 
The issue in this case isn't the elimination of transit tax credit - but the lack of a commensurate program to provide benefit to those who needed it; nor is it clear whether taxes regained are fully put back into transit.

AoD

The issue Hopkins is raising, to which I was responding, seemed very much to be the elimination of the transit tax credit.

But I agree with you on the general issues. It would be nice if the feds ponied up with funds on the operations side to subsidize transit fares for those most in need (which the credit did not do), although they are not necessarily the level of government on whom that responsibility would naturally fall. However, new capital investment in transit also benefits those who need it most, since the lack of transit investment disproportionately impacts those with lower incomes.

The elimination of the credit saves roughly $200 million a year, while the feds have promised $20 billion in new money for capital investments in transit over 11 (!) years. On a straightforward analysis, the savings are being ploughed back into transit (and much more). I suspect that those new monies will be back-ended to a degree (although I have no doubt that a bunch of money will become available before the next election).
 
Justin is nothing special, just a typical Tony Blair with a smile and words.

In like 8 or so years he will be step down and the Tories will be back I imagine.
 
The elimination of the credit saves roughly $200 million a year, while the feds have promised $20 billion in new money for capital investments in transit over 11 (!) years. On a straightforward analysis, the savings are being ploughed back into transit (and much more). I suspect that those new monies will be back-ended to a degree (although I have no doubt that a bunch of money will become available before the next election).

Anything longer than 4 years in a spending-related government promise is generally meaningless.

AoD
 
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Agreed (thus my exclamation mark after the number 11!). But there is no reason to doubt that they are spending more on transit in the short term than they were spending on the tax credit, particularly with an election happening in 2019.
 
There is a bit of a reason to doubt it, since they included the previously agreed amounts into this total.
 

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