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  1. Replies
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    KeithZ, I was just trying to point out that I am...

    KeithZ,
    I was just trying to point out that I am not so sure it will be a sudden hard landing as the economics are somewhat different when you are talking about 13% mortgage rates vs. 3%.

    ...
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    Unless there is a large increase in interest...

    Unless there is a large increase in interest rates or as someone aptly pointed out, instability in Canada (Quebec Election, sovereignist win and talk of referendum...especially if it looks like the...
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    Good observation. However, even if the PQ wins,...

    Good observation.
    However, even if the PQ wins, I think it will depend on the result.
    If a minority government, no effect or at least no change.
    If a majority, yes we will see 1-2% possible drop...
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    Everyone is acknowledging the market is hot right...

    Everyone is acknowledging the market is hot right now. I suspect it will continue for the next few months.
    People have been waiting a year or 2 now and there is pent up demand of people who just...
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    Remember Will Dunning is the chief economist for...

    Remember Will Dunning is the chief economist for the Canadian Association of Accredited Mortgage Professionals.
    This is the group most impacted by the rules returning to where they were prior to the...
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    I too last year did not buy any equity but rather...

    I too last year did not buy any equity but rather sold partial positions in 2 holdings (I sold approximately 6% of my total stock holdings.) Both residual holdings are up since then but I remember...
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    If I had to hazard a guess, and it is only a...

    If I had to hazard a guess, and it is only a guess....when interest rates finally start back up the cycle will be a down cycle for a few years on real estate and probably after the down a prolonged...
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    Condo prices in GTA likely to fall about 8% over...

    Condo prices in GTA likely to fall about 8% over next 2 years: report Add to ...

    TARA PERKINS - REAL ESTATE REPORTER

    The Globe and Mail

    Published Monday, Mar. 10 2014, 10:37 AM EDT

    Last...
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    And when may ask is that happening?

    And when may ask is that happening?
  10. Replies
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    I think that is what everyone is talking about on...

    I think that is what everyone is talking about on this site.
    We all know real estate is cyclical. Figuring out when the end of the cycle occurs and the beginning of the next cycle happens and what...
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    cdr I appreciate your comment but I am not sure...

    cdr
    I appreciate your comment but I am not sure the collapse there follows here.
    Their stock market and property market became severely overvalued. Both collapsed.

    They had massive debt(...
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    Eventually there will be some correction. ...

    Eventually there will be some correction.
    Whether it is a slowdown or zero growth for a few years (soft landing) or a harder one remains to be seen.
    Real estate is cyclical so eventually someone...
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    See my post 8313 above. Clarification issued by...

    See my post 8313 above.
    Clarification issued by the Globe and Mail.
    They are talking about a 10-20% decrease, allowing for 2%-4% inflation they suggest nominal FLAT to 10% DOWN.
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    Again it was the commentary by Paul Bagnell. If...

    Again it was the commentary by Paul Bagnell.
    If we assume 10% decline that would be 20% or 4% average/year over the next 5 years. A lot of forecasters are expecting inflation to pick up next year...
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    It was on the noon show... It was their...

    It was on the noon show...
    It was their commentary and Paul Bagnell stated that Pimco issued a clarification.
    I am not sure where it would be.
    I don't know if one can go back and see this anywhere...
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    On BNN they clarified this over the lunch hour:...

    On BNN they clarified this over the lunch hour:
    Pimco issued a clarification stating that they see a 30% decline not allowing for inflation: They are expecting a 5 to 10% decline over the next 5...
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    ^^^^ CNTower In his post above CNTower is...

    ^^^^
    CNTower


    In his post above CNTower is absolutely correct.

    When I did the numbers, my conclusion was that at $400/sq.ft. you made money, $450 was the max/sq.ft. that made sense to me. At...
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    Thanks for the offer condo George. I would feel...

    Thanks for the offer condo George.
    I would feel awkward in either of those 2 vehicles...( I am a simple person from simple roots):D
    I will continue to admire those in the position to drive them...
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    Are you talking new or resale? Also, if new, do...

    Are you talking new or resale?
    Also, if new, do you think this will be across the price range or will the high end continue to suffer?
  20. +1

    +1
  21. Replies
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    I would not quite be that harsh. However you are...

    I would not quite be that harsh. However you are probably right that the developer is looking at the 1.7% I quoted as just part of his marketing budget.
    I was under the impression the building was...
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    Think about it...that is not a lot of money. If...

    Think about it...that is not a lot of money. If rents are now $3 (500 sq.ft. will get at least $1500 and probably $1600/month in the present market) and let say they go down to $2.50. That is 50...
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    [/B] I would take this with a bit of a grain...

    [/B]

    I would take this with a bit of a grain of salt. Clearly with Freddie Mac and Fanny May there were problems but it is an ideological question rather than an economic one. In North America,...
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    Hi daveto. welcome back. Interestingly in the...

    Hi daveto.
    welcome back.

    Interestingly in the National Post this morning on line there is an article about the HELOC loans in the US coming home to roost shortly. These are interest only often...
  25. If I was staying at the hotel, I wouldn't be too...

    If I was staying at the hotel, I wouldn't be too impressed.
    this I believe is the 3rd piece of glass now. At least 2 would be from balconies.
    Clearly a problem with the type of glass.
    The first...
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